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8-K ·Filed Oct 16, 2026

CFG

CITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP INC/RI
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed11d 4h ago SEC0000759944-26-000206
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS and revenue miss vs elevated consensus will likely drive near-term selling pressure, but the 13% dividend hike and $1.95B buyback authorization provide a floor. Watch the Q4 2026 outlook call for NIM guidance toward the 3.30-3.50% target by 4Q27 and any update on Reimagine the Bank cost savings.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+5d
CFG ▲ +2.81% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -2.81% · α vs SPY -2.72% · entry $63.36 → $65.14
Next anchor: T+20d in 17d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.95%
call +0.95% · α +1.37%
$62.76
settled 8d ago
T+5d
+2.81%
call -2.81% · α -2.72%
$65.14
settled 4d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 17d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Citizens Financial Group reported Q3 2026 EPS of $1.41, a 4.7% miss vs consensus of $1.48, though revenue of $2.322B also missed the $2.40B estimate. Net income rose 29% YoY to $636M, driven by NII expansion and lower credit provisions, but the headline miss vs elevated Street expectations will likely weigh on the stock. The board raised the quarterly dividend 13% to $0.52/share and increased the buyback authorization by $1.3B to $1.95B, signaling capital return confidence.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.41
est $1.48 · -4.7%
Revenue
$2.3B
est $2.4B · -3.3% · +9.6% YoY
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 diluted EPS of $1.41 missed consensus of $1.48 (-4.7%)
  • Total revenue of $2.322B missed consensus of $2.40B (-3.3%)
  • Net income $636M, up 29% YoY from $494M
  • Net interest margin (FTE) expanded 19 bps YoY to 3.19%
  • Quarterly dividend raised 13% to $0.52/share
  • Share repurchase authorization increased by $1.3B to $1.95B total capacity
  • CET1 ratio improved to 10.5% from 10.4% in Q2
  • TBV/share fell 6.6% QoQ to $35.78 due to higher long-term rates on securities and swap portfolios

Financial Impact

EPS miss of ~$0.07 vs consensus; revenue miss of ~$78M

epsrevenuenet interest margintangible book value

Risk Factors

  • Higher-for-longer interest rates pressuring TBV and AOCI
  • Commercial real estate credit migration (nonaccruals up 2% QoQ)
  • Capital markets fee volatility (down 10% YoY)
  • Deposit cost repricing lagging asset yields

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000759944-26-000206
Document: a3q26earningsrelease.htm0000759944-26-000206
Document: a3q26earningspresentatio.htm0000759944-26-000206
Document: cfg-20261016.htm0000759944-26-000206
Document: 0000759944-26-000206-index-headers.html0000759944-26-000206
Document: 0000759944-26-000206-index.html0000759944-26-000206
Document: 0000759944-26-000206.txt0000759944-26-000206
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000759944-26-000206
7 reports for CFG
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +5.96%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CFG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$64.88 $65.24▲ +0.55%▲ +1.74%$65.37 (+0.76%)
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$63.36 $62.76▲ +0.95%▲ +1.37%$65.37 (−3.17%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$72.00 $72.44▲ +0.61%▲ +0.73%$65.37 (−9.21%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$74.40 $72.39▼ −2.70%▼ −1.71%$65.37 (−12.14%)
Apr 16, 2026
27w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$25.10 $25.15▲ +0.20%▼ −1.02%$65.37 (+160.44%)
Mar 9, 2026
33w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$58.88 $58.50▼ −0.65%▼ −0.54%$65.37 (+11.02%)
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$61.04 $59.66▲ +2.26%▲ +1.35%$65.37 (−7.10%)
Showing 7 of 7

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Report published Oct 16, 2026