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8-K ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

CDT

CDT Equity Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed14d 9h ago SEC0001493152-26-046738
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Watch for the stockholder meeting by November 13, 2026—approval of the reverse split authority and share issuance is critical. Monitor weekly ATM sales volumes; the forced 80% sweep means every ATM dollar goes to the lender, not operations. The $3.00 bid price condition for the second tranche is a high bar given the current ~$0.92 stock price. Any Nasdaq deficiency notice would trigger an immediate event of default.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
CDT ▼ -64.67% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +64.67% · α vs SPY +63.52% · entry $0.4500 → $0.1590
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+8 +31.27% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-46.67%
call +46.67% · α +45.59%
$0.2400
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-64.67%
call +64.67% · α +63.52%
$0.1590
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CDT Equity Inc. issued a $6,750,000 senior secured convertible note to J.J. Astor & Co., receiving $3,000,000 in the first tranche (net proceeds of $2,869,850) with a second tranche of $2,000,000 contingent on conditions including stockholder approval and a $3.00 minimum bid price. The note carries a 24-week repayment schedule, a conversion price at 70% of the lowest 20-day VWAP (floor $0.18354), and forces 80% of ATM proceeds to the lender. This deepens CDT's reliance on a single distressed lender, adds massive dilution risk, and comes with aggressive Nasdaq compliance covenants—all while the stock trades below $1.00 and the company faces an activist 13D filed 41 days ago.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$6.8M
Deal Type
credit_facility
Offering Size
$6.8M

Key Facts

  • Issued $6,750,000 senior secured convertible note to J.J. Astor & Co., with $3,000,000 funded upfront (net $2,869,850) and $2,000,000 contingent on conditions including stockholder approval and $3.00 minimum bid price.
  • Conversion price is 70% of lowest 20-day VWAP, floor $0.18354, resetting every 6 months to 20% of lowest 20-day VWAP; warrants for 225,000 shares at $0.9177 exercise price with semi-annual reset.
  • 80% of all ATM net proceeds must be swept to the lender until the note is paid in full; the company must maintain the ATM program and cannot suspend it without lender consent.
  • Stockholder meeting required by November 13, 2026 to approve share issuance and reverse split authority up to 1-for-1,000; failure triggers an event of default.
  • Nasdaq bid price compliance covenant: if closing bid <$1.00 for 5 consecutive days, CDT must effect a reverse split to target $5.00; if below $1.00 for 20 consecutive business days, delisting risk.
  • Existing note balance of $2,675,805.50 continues to accrue 24% default interest; forbearance on existing note defaults is temporary and conditional.
  • Activist investor Corvus Capital Ltd. filed a 13D/A on September 2, 2026 (41 days ago), signaling pressure for strategic action.

Financial Impact

New debt of $6.75M (original principal) with $3M funded; net proceeds $2.87M after fees. Existing note $2.68M at 24% default interest. Dilution from conversion at deep discount (70% of VWAP, floor $0.18354) could be massive—potentially millions of shares if stock price remains low.

debtdilutioncash_flowliquidity

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution from conversion at deep discount (70% of VWAP, floor $0.18354) could overwhelm existing shareholders.
  • Forced ATM sweep starves the company of operating cash; failure to maintain ATM sales is an event of default.
  • Nasdaq delisting risk is acute—stock trades below $1.00 and the company has already used a 1-for-25 reverse split; further splits risk losing the minimum public float requirement.
  • Activist 13D filer Corvus Capital may push for a sale or other strategic alternative, complicating the lender relationship.
  • The forbearance on existing note defaults is temporary; if the new note is not paid, all defaults accelerate with 120% default amount and 24% interest.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-046738
Exhibit: ex4-1.htm0001493152-26-046738
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-046738
Document: 0001493152-26-046738-index-headers.html0001493152-26-046738
Document: 0001493152-26-046738-index.html0001493152-26-046738
Document: 0001493152-26-046738.txt0001493152-26-046738
23 reports for CDT
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate @ T+20 8 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 12 best @ T+60▲ +99.88%Jul 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CDT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.0837awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (−4.42%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.0890awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (+10.11%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.0890awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (−10.11%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.0819awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (−2.32%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.0982awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (+18.53%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4500awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (+82.22%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.7180awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (+88.86%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.8000awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (−90.00%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.8000awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (+90.00%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.8000awaiting T+20—$0.0800 (+90.00%)
Showing 10 of 23

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 42m)

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Report published Oct 13, 2026