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SC TO-T ·Filed Sep 22, 2026

CDLR

Cadeler A/S
NEUTRAL
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-109516
Tender offer (third party)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The key binary catalyst is the >90% tender condition — if achieved, the squeeze-out proceeds and remaining holders receive cash (amount TBD under Danish law). If the condition is waived to a lower threshold, the squeeze-out may not be available and non-tendering holders retain a stub in a now-UK-listed entity. Monitor daily tender updates and any waiver announcements before the October 21 expiration.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CDLR ▼ -11.09% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -11.09% · α vs SPY -10.53% · entry $25.52 → $22.69
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+23 -2.40% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.68%
call -3.68% · α -2.96%
$24.58
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-11.48%
call -11.48% · α -10.29%
$22.59
settled 28d ago
T+20d
-11.09%
call -11.09% · α -10.53%
$22.69
settled 7d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cadeler plc (NewCo), a newly formed UK entity established by shareholder BW Altor Pte. Ltd., has commenced a tender offer to exchange each Cadeler A/S share (including ADSs) for one NewCo share, effecting a redomiciliation from Denmark to the UK. The offer expires October 21, 2026, requires >90% tender (waivable), and is unanimously recommended by both boards. A EUR 220 million bridge facility from DNB Bank ASA backs a potential cash squeeze-out for non-tendering holders. The transaction is valued at approximately $2.38 billion based on the September 15, 2026 ADS reference price.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$2.4B
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Exchange ratio: 1 NewCo share for each Cadeler share (1:1); each Cadeler ADS (4 shares) → 4 NewCo shares.
  • Offer expires 5:00 PM ET on October 21, 2026; no subsequent offering period.
  • Minimum Condition: >90% of outstanding shares (excluding treasury) must be tendered; NewCo may waive to a lower percentage.
  • Squeeze-out: if >90% threshold met, NewCo will compulsorily acquire remaining shares for cash under Danish Companies Act sections 70-72.
  • Squeeze-out financing: EUR 220 million bridge facility from DNB Bank ASA, secured by a first-priority pledge on NewCo's Cadeler shares.
  • Both the Cadeler Board and NewCo Board unanimously approved and recommend the offer.
  • NewCo was established by shareholder BW Altor Pte. Ltd. to facilitate the redomiciliation.
  • NewCo shares expected to list on Oslo Stock Exchange (CADLR) and NYSE (CDLR); Cadeler shares/ADSs to be delisted.
  • Transaction valuation for SEC filing fee: $2,381,471,372.96 based on 386,053,341 shares at $6.16875 per ADS (÷4).
  • RSU grants: 1,574,042 RSUs granted Aug 2026 (vest 2030); 193,011 RSUs from 2024 accelerated to vest Sept 21, 2026.

Financial Impact

Transaction valued at approximately $2.38 billion based on reference price of $6.16875 per ADS (Sept 15, 2026). EUR 220 million bridge facility for squeeze-out cash consideration.

share countdilutiondebt

Risk Factors

  • Failure to reach the >90% Minimum Condition could prevent the squeeze-out, leaving a minority stub.
  • Cash squeeze-out consideration may differ in value from the 1:1 exchange ratio offered to tendering shareholders.
  • Bridge facility (EUR 220M) introduces leverage and dividend restrictions on the combined group post-closing.
  • Regulatory approvals required (Norwegian FSA, SEC effectiveness, NYSE/Oslo listing approvals) — though most appear satisfied.
  • BW Altor Pte. Ltd., the establishing shareholder, previously filed a Schedule 13D/A (March 2026), indicating activist involvement.

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC TO-T Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-109516
Document: tm2625350d1_ex99-a5f.htm0001104659-26-109516
Document: tm2625350d1_ex-filingfees.htm0001104659-26-109516
Document: 0001104659-26-109516-index-headers.html0001104659-26-109516
Document: 0001104659-26-109516-index.html0001104659-26-109516
Document: 0001104659-26-109516.txt0001104659-26-109516
28 reports for CDLR
Performance horizon
70% Hit rate @ T+1 7 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +19.25%Mar 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CDLR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
SC 14D-9/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.96 $25.11▲ +0.60%▲ +1.12%$25.28 (+1.28%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
SC TO-T/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.96 $25.11▲ +0.60%▲ +1.12%$25.28 (+1.28%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$24.96 $25.11▲ +0.60%▲ +1.12%$25.28 (+1.28%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.83 $24.96▲ +0.52%▲ +1.70%$25.28 (+1.81%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.04 $21.77▼ −1.23%▼ −0.98%$25.28 (+14.70%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.51 $22.90▼ −2.59%▼ −1.85%$25.28 (+7.53%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.58 $23.45▼ −4.60%▼ −4.52%$25.28 (+2.85%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
SC 14D-9
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$25.52 $24.58▼ −3.68%▼ −2.96%$25.28 (−0.94%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
SC TO-T
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$25.52 $24.58▼ −3.68%▼ −2.96%$25.28 (−0.94%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.52 $24.58▼ −3.68%▼ −2.96%$25.28 (−0.94%)
Showing 10 of 28

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Report published Sep 22, 2026