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SC 14D-9 ·Filed Sep 22, 2026

CDLR

Cadeler A/S
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-109532
Company response to tender offer
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor the tender acceptance rate ahead of the October 21 expiration — the 90% minimum condition is the key gating item. If BW Altor (28.24%) and Scorpio Holdings (12.78%) both tender, the condition is effectively pre-satisfied. Watch for any competing bid or shareholder dissent that could force NewCo to lower the minimum condition threshold.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CDLR ▼ -11.09% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -11.09% · α vs SPY -10.53% · entry $25.52 → $22.69
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+23 -2.40% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.68%
call -3.68% · α -2.96%
$24.58
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-11.48%
call -11.48% · α -10.29%
$22.59
settled 28d ago
T+20d
-11.09%
call -11.09% · α -10.53%
$22.69
settled 7d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cadeler A/S filed a Schedule 14D-9 recommending that shareholders accept the tender offer from Cadeler plc (NewCo) to exchange each Cadeler Share for one NewCo Share, effecting a redomiciliation from Denmark to the UK. The board unanimously recommends the offer, citing enhanced access to capital, improved competitive positioning, and minimal disruption. The independent expert (Kroll/Duff & Phelps) opined the consideration is fair from a financial point of view. The offer expires October 21, 2026, and requires >90% tender to proceed.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Cadeler Board unanimously recommends shareholders accept the offer and tender shares to NewCo
  • Exchange ratio: 1 NewCo Share for each Cadeler Share; 4 NewCo Shares per Cadeler ADS
  • Offer expires 5:00 PM Eastern on October 21, 2026 (Initial Expiration Date)
  • Minimum Condition: >90% of outstanding Cadeler Shares must be tendered (excluding treasury)
  • NewCo is a holding company established by BW Altor Pte. Ltd., which owns 28.24% of Cadeler
  • Scorpio Holdings Limited owns 12.78% of Cadeler
  • Kroll/Duff & Phelps issued an independent fairness opinion concluding the consideration is fair from a financial point of view
  • NewCo secured a EUR 220 million bridge facility with DNB Bank ASA to fund the Squeeze-out
  • As of June 30, 2026, EUR 4 million in legal/advisory costs recognized; expected to be reimbursed by NewCo
  • All Cadeler Board members will serve on NewCo Board; no special benefits or compensation changes for directors or management in connection with the redomiciliation
  • 193,011 RSUs granted in May 2024 were accelerated to vest on September 21, 2026; settled 85% shares / 15% cash
  • 1,574,042 RSUs granted on August 26, 2026, vesting August 26, 2030

Financial Impact

No cash consideration in the exchange; shareholders receive 1 NewCo Share per Cadeler Share. NewCo has a EUR 220 million bridge facility for the Squeeze-out. EUR 4 million in transaction costs recognized as of H1 2026.

share exchange ratiodilutiontransaction costs

Risk Factors

  • Failure to meet the 90% Minimum Condition could delay or scuttle the redomiciliation
  • Uncertain Danish tax treatment of ADSs could adversely affect ADS holders' after-tax returns
  • No significant cost savings or synergies expected from the redomiciliation despite significant transaction costs
  • NewCo may reduce the Minimum Condition below 90%, potentially triggering appraisal rights for non-tendering shareholders

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 14 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 14D-9 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe9.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe8.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_ex99-a5vii.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe6.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe7.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe5.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe3.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe4.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe2.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: tm2625350d2_exhe1.htm0001104659-26-109532
Document: 0001104659-26-109532-index-headers.html0001104659-26-109532
Document: 0001104659-26-109532-index.html0001104659-26-109532
Document: 0001104659-26-109532.txt0001104659-26-109532
28 reports for CDLR
Performance horizon
70% Hit rate @ T+1 7 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +19.25%Mar 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CDLR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
SC 14D-9/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.96 $25.11▲ +0.60%▲ +1.12%$24.46 (−2.00%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
SC TO-T/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.96 $25.11▲ +0.60%▲ +1.12%$24.46 (−2.00%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$24.96 $25.11▲ +0.60%▲ +1.12%$24.46 (−2.00%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.83 $24.96▲ +0.52%▲ +1.70%$24.46 (−1.49%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.04 $21.77▼ −1.23%▼ −0.98%$24.46 (+10.98%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.51 $22.90▼ −2.59%▼ −1.85%$24.46 (+4.04%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.58 $23.45▼ −4.60%▼ −4.52%$24.46 (−0.49%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
SC 14D-9
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$25.52 $24.58▼ −3.68%▼ −2.96%$24.46 (−4.15%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
SC TO-T
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$25.52 $24.58▼ −3.68%▼ −2.96%$24.46 (−4.15%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.52 $24.58▼ −3.68%▼ −2.96%$24.46 (−4.15%)
Showing 10 of 28

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (9h 36m)

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Report published Sep 22, 2026