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8-K424B5 ·Filed Jul 15, 2026

CBIO

CRESCENT BIOPHARMA, INC.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed3mo ago SEC0001628280-26-048347
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The substantial dilution from this offering is a near-term negative for existing shareholders. Monitor the stock for potential downward pressure as the new shares enter the market. The extended cash runway into H2 2028 reduces near-term financing risk, but the clinical-stage nature of the pipeline means significant future capital may still be needed. Watch for any exercise of the underwriters' greenshoe option and for the resumption of ATM sales after the 30-day lock-up period.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CBIO ▼ -1.32% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +1.32% · α vs SPY +5.03% · entry $15.11 → $14.91
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.38%
call +2.38% · α +1.39%
$14.75
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+12.71%
call -12.71% · α -14.38%
$17.03
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+10.06%
call -10.06% · α -6.44%
$16.63
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-1.32%
call +1.32% · α +5.03%
$14.91
settled 19d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Crescent Biopharma priced an underwritten public offering of 8,094,793 ordinary shares at $14.50 per share and 525,897 pre-funded warrants at $14.499 per warrant, with gross proceeds of approximately $125.0 million. Net proceeds are expected to be ~$115.9 million ($133.5 million if the underwriters' option to purchase an additional 1,293,103 shares is exercised in full). The company estimates the funds will extend its cash runway into the second half of 2028. The offering represents significant dilution for existing shareholders, with an immediate dilution of $6.10 per share for new investors.

Key Facts

  • Offering of 8,094,793 ordinary shares at $14.50/share and 525,897 pre-funded warrants at $14.499/warrant.
  • Gross proceeds of approximately $125.0 million; net proceeds of ~$115.9 million (~$133.5 million if underwriters' option is exercised in full).
  • Underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,293,103 ordinary shares.
  • Net tangible book value per share post-offering is $8.40, representing immediate dilution of $6.10 per share for new investors.
  • Company estimates current cash plus offering proceeds will fund operations into the second half of 2028.
  • Pre-funded warrants have an exercise price of $0.001, are immediately exercisable, and do not expire.
  • Insiders and certain stockholders are subject to a 60-day lock-up period.
  • The company has a $200 million at-the-market (ATM) facility with Jefferies, with sales restricted until 30 days post-offering or full exercise of the underwriters' option.

Financial Impact

Gross proceeds of ~$125.0 million; net proceeds of ~$115.9 million (or ~$133.5 million with full exercise of the greenshoe). Dilution of $6.10 per share for new investors.

dilutioncash runway

Risk Factors

  • Immediate and substantial dilution to existing shareholders.
  • Clinical-stage biotech with no approved products; pipeline execution risk remains high.
  • Potential for further dilution from the $200 million ATM facility once the lock-up expires.
  • No established trading market for the pre-funded warrants, limiting liquidity for those holders.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
87% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 12 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (CBIO) — Batch item 10001628280-26-048347
Exhibit: exhibit41formofpre-fundedw.htm0001628280-26-048344
Exhibit: exhibit51walkersopiniondeal.htm0001628280-26-048347
Exhibit: exhibit52lathamopiniondeal.htm0001628280-26-048347
Exhibit: exhibit992pricingpressrele.htm0001628280-26-048347
Exhibit: exhibit991launchpressrelea.htm0001628280-26-048347
Document: cbio-20260714.htm0001628280-26-048347
Document: 0001628280-26-048347-index-headers.html0001628280-26-048347
Document: 0001628280-26-048347-index.html0001628280-26-048347
Document: 0001628280-26-048347.txt0001628280-26-048347
424B5 Filing (CBIO) — Batch item 110001628280-26-048344
8-K Filing (CBIO) — Batch item 120001628280-26-048347
16 reports for CBIO
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +9.89%Jul 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CBIO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.84awaiting T+60—$12.96 (+9.46%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.84awaiting T+60—$12.96 (+9.46%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.94awaiting T+60—$12.96 (−7.03%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.25awaiting T+60—$12.96 (−20.25%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.02 $12.82▼ −14.65%▼ −17.11%$12.96 (−13.72%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$16.64 $12.91▼ −22.42%▼ −26.39%$12.96 (−22.12%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
8-K / 424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$15.11 $14.91▲ +1.32%▲ +5.03%$12.96 (+14.23%)
Jul 14, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$15.67 $14.12▲ +9.89%▲ +12.42%$12.96 (+17.29%)
Jul 14, 2026
14w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$15.67 $14.12▲ +9.89%▲ +12.42%$12.96 (+17.29%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.69 $13.57▼ −13.51%▼ −17.51%$12.96 (−17.40%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Jul 15, 2026