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S-1/A ·Filed Jul 20, 2026

CAST

FreeCast, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001213900-26-079417
IPO registration amendment
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The resale registration allows selling shareholders (including Citadel CEMF, Davidson Kempner, Weiss Asset Management) to sell their shares immediately upon effectiveness, creating potential overhang. Monitor for selling volume and any further dilution from the $50M ELOC facility. The $23M raise extends cash runway but does not change the fundamental trajectory of declining revenue and deep operating losses.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CAST ▼ -55.69% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +55.69% · α vs SPY +60.53% · entry $2.55 → $1.13
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-7.06%
call +7.06% · α +7.89%
$2.37
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-24.31%
call +24.31% · α +23.89%
$1.93
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-66.28%
call +66.28% · α +70.40%
$0.8598
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-55.69%
call +55.69% · α +60.53%
$1.13
settled 14d ago

Executive Summary

FreeCast filed Amendment No. 1 to its S-1 to register up to 7,910,474 shares of Class A common stock for resale by selling shareholders following a $23.73M private placement that closed July 2, 2026. The company continues to report deep losses ($10.2M net loss on $351K revenue for the nine months ended March 2026), an accumulated deficit of $205.4M, and a going-concern qualification from its auditors. While the July 2026 capital raise provides near-term liquidity, the filing confirms persistent financial distress with no path to profitability disclosed, and the resale registration introduces potential selling pressure from institutional and individual shareholders.

Key Facts

  • Resale registration of up to 7,910,474 shares (4,666,667 Private Placement Shares + 3,243,807 Pre-Funded Warrant Shares) by selling shareholders
  • Private placement closed July 2, 2026 with gross proceeds of ~$23.73M ($22.84M net after placement agent fees)
  • Revenue declined 15% YoY to $350,859 for the nine months ended March 31, 2026 (from $413,837)
  • Net loss of $10.2M for the nine months ended March 31, 2026; accumulated deficit of $205.4M
  • Cash balance of only $119,302 as of March 31, 2026 (before the $23M raise)
  • Auditors included a going-concern explanatory paragraph in their report on FY2025 financial statements
  • CEO William A. Mobley Jr. controls ~90% of voting power through dual-class stock structure (Class B: 15 votes per share)
  • Over 50% of revenue comes from two related-party customers (Test Drive Live Inc. and Celebrity Cigars Inc.)
  • Reported subscriber count of 1,024,592 includes inactive accounts; company does not distinguish active vs. inactive
  • Up to $50M ELOC facility with Amiens Technology Investments LLC remains available, creating further dilution risk

Financial Impact

Revenue of $350,859 for 9 months ended March 31, 2026; net loss of $10,180,305; accumulated deficit of $205,415,506; cash of $119,302 pre-raise; $23.73M gross proceeds from July 2026 private placement

revenuenet incomecashdilution

Risk Factors

  • Selling pressure from up to 7.9M registered shares held by institutional and individual selling shareholders
  • Going-concern risk persists despite the $23M capital raise; company has never achieved profitability
  • Dilution from the $50M ELOC facility (shares sold at 95% of VWAP) and outstanding warrants/options
  • Customer concentration: >50% of revenue from two related-party customers controlled by CEO
  • Dependence on proprietary technology licensed from CEO-controlled Nextelligence; loss of license would cripple operations

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1/A Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-079417
Document: ea029848401ex5-1.htm0001213900-26-079417
Document: ea029848401ex23-1.htm0001213900-26-079417
Document: 0001213900-26-079417-index-headers.html0001213900-26-079417
Document: 0001213900-26-079417-index.html0001213900-26-079417
Document: 0001213900-26-079417.txt0001213900-26-079417
11 reports for CAST
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +832.93%May 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CAST — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.20 $1.51▲ +25.83%▲ +20.81%$1.04 (−13.33%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.08 $1.87▼ −10.10%▼ −13.40%$1.04 (−50.00%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
S-1/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.55 $0.8598▲ +66.28%▲ +70.40%$1.04 (+59.22%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.52 $0.9950▲ +60.52%▲ +64.13%$1.04 (+58.73%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.8200 $7.65▲ +832.93%▲ +836.07%$1.04 (+26.83%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.77 $0.7400▲ +58.19%▲ +61.33%$1.04 (+41.24%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.10 $1.41▲ +54.52%▲ +58.72%$1.04 (+66.45%)
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.96 $1.47▲ +62.88%▲ +68.92%$1.04 (+73.74%)
Apr 1, 2026
29w ago
10-Q/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$4.50 $2.09▲ +53.56%▲ +63.43%$1.04 (+76.89%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
—awaiting T+20——
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

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Report published Jul 20, 2026