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8-K ·Filed May 29, 2026

CARE

Carter Bankshares, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001829576-26-000056
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Near-term EPS will take a ~$0.35/share hit from the securities loss, but the 300bps yield pickup adds ~$4.2M annually. The trade is NPV-positive with ~3-year payback. Monitor Q2 earnings for the exact loss recognition and track loan growth deployment of remaining proceeds. Preferred stock (CARE-PA) holders should view the credit-neutral portfolio optimization as neutral.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CARE ▲ +15.70% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +15.70% · α vs SPY +14.46% · entry $27.14 → $31.40
Entry = T+0 close
May 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.38%
call +4.38% · α +4.24%
$28.33
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+5.16%
call +5.16% · α +7.91%
$28.54
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+25.31%
call +25.31% · α +26.61%
$34.01
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+15.70%
call +15.70% · α +14.46%
$31.40
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Carter Bankshares completed a strategic repositioning of 18.7% of its securities portfolio, selling $139.4M in low-yield (2.28%) securities and buying $88.5M of higher-yield (5.27%) AAA/AA rated securities. The transaction will generate a ~$12.5M pre-tax loss in Q2 2026, which management expects to recover over ~2.98 years via ~$4.2M in annual interest income improvement. This is a net-present-value-positive swap that near-term depresses earnings but boosts future net interest income.

Key Facts

  • Sold $139.4M book value of securities (2.28% weighted avg yield) = ~18.7% of securities portfolio
  • Purchased ~$88.5M of AAA/AA securities at ~5.27% weighted avg yield
  • Estimated pre-tax loss of ~$12.5M to be recorded in Q2 2026
  • Expected payback period of ~2.98 years on lost proceeds through higher interest income
  • Annual interest income expected to improve by ~$4.2M
  • Remaining proceeds to fund organic loan growth
  • Market cap $599M; pre-tax loss = ~2.1% of market cap

Financial Impact

$12.5M pre-tax loss in Q2 2026 (2.1% of market cap); expected recovery over ~3 years with $4.2M annual income gain

netIncomenetInterestIncomesecuritiesPortfolioYield

Risk Factors

  • Actual reinvestment yields may differ from current expectations due to rate changes
  • Remaining proceeds deployed into loan growth may take time to materialize, delaying full benefit
  • If rates fall, the reinvested portfolio could underperform and the realized loss would not be fully recovered

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001829576-26-000056
Document: 0001829576-26-000056-index-headers.html0001829576-26-000056
Document: 0001829576-26-000056-index.html0001829576-26-000056
Document: 0001829576-26-000056.txt0001829576-26-000056
15 reports for CARE
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +44.21%Mar 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CARE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$30.47awaiting T+60—$30.32 (−0.49%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$31.53awaiting T+60—$30.32 (−3.84%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$33.00awaiting T+60—$30.32 (−8.12%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.13 $30.57▼ −10.43%▼ −12.90%$30.32 (−11.16%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.13 $30.57▼ −10.43%▼ −12.90%$30.32 (−11.16%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$34.07 $30.18▼ −11.42%▼ −15.47%$30.32 (−11.01%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.90 $30.31▼ −10.59%▼ −15.14%$30.32 (−10.56%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.68 $30.79▼ −5.78%▼ −9.51%$30.32 (−7.22%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$27.14 $31.40▲ +15.70%▲ +14.46%$30.32 (+11.72%)
May 5, 2026
25w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$26.05 $34.13▲ +31.01%▲ +28.27%$30.32 (+16.39%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 25m)

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Report published May 29, 2026