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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

CAPR

Capricor Therapeutics
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · FDA
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should monitor for potential sharp downside on the negative AdCom signal; the August 22 PDUFA decision remains the key binary event, but the vote significantly reduces odds of straightforward approval. Consider short-term puts or avoid long exposure until FDA decision.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CAPR ▲ +41.53% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -41.53% · α vs SPY -39.06% · entry $4.19 → $5.93
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-8.11%
call +8.11% · α +8.82%
$3.85
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.24%
call +0.24% · α +3.86%
$4.18
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+140.10%
call -140.10% · α -136.13%
$10.06
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+41.53%
call -41.53% · α -39.06%
$5.93
settled 3d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The FDA's Cellular, Tissue and Gene Therapies Advisory Committee voted 9-3 against evidence supporting Deramiocel's effectiveness for DMD cardiomyopathy, a significant negative signal ahead of the August 22 PDUFA date. Although the vote is non-binding and the committee was supportive on upper limb function, the FDA typically follows AdCom recommendations, raising substantial approval risk for Capricor's lead asset.

Key Facts

  • AdCom voted 9-3 against effectiveness of Deramiocel for DMD cardiomyopathy
  • Committee vote is non-binding; PDUFA target action date is August 22, 2026
  • Committee feedback on upper limb function was directionally supportive
  • Deramiocel has Orphan Drug, RMAT, and Rare Pediatric Disease designations

Financial Impact

Negative AdCom vote significantly increases risk of non-approval or CRL for Capricor's lead asset; potential for substantial stock price decline given ~$380M market cap and single-asset focus

market capapproval probability

Risk Factors

  • FDA may issue a Complete Response Letter (CRL) based on the AdCom vote
  • Further delays or additional trials required for approval
  • Potential stock price decline of 20-50% if CRL issued

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
94% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3336165
13 reports for CAPR
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +15.68%Oct 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CAPR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.27 $6.13▲ +15.68%▲ +14.67%$5.74 (+21.05%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.80 $9.91▼ −45.74%▼ −45.27%$5.74 (+15.59%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$6.29 $9.59▲ +52.46%▲ +51.99%$5.74 (−8.74%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.19 $4.18▲ +0.24%▲ +3.86%$5.74 (−36.99%)
Jul 14, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$20.35 $18.91▼ −7.08%▼ −6.10%$5.74 (−71.79%)
Jun 29, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.08 $22.43▼ −6.85%▼ −7.46%$5.74 (−76.16%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$23.80 $22.43▼ −5.76%▼ −7.14%$5.74 (−75.88%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$30.40 $23.07▼ −24.11%▼ −25.67%$5.74 (−81.12%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$27.34 $26.01▼ −4.86%▼ −1.90%$5.74 (−79.01%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$30.33 $26.92▼ −11.24%▼ −10.09%$5.74 (−81.07%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Jul 30, 2026