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S-3 ·Filed Mar 3, 2026

CALC

CalciMedica, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago SEC0001193125-26-088562
Shelf registration — potential dilution
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for upcoming share issuances under the ATM program, which could lead to significant dilution given the company's low market cap and cash needs. The going concern warning suggests high financial risk, making any equity raise likely dilutive.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CALC ▲ +39.42% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -39.42% · α vs SPY -29.34% · entry $0.6240 → $0.8700
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 3, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.93%
call -5.93% · α -6.50%
$0.6610
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
+10.90%
call -10.90% · α -12.23%
$0.6920
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
-5.77%
call +5.77% · α +1.35%
$0.5880
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+39.42%
call -39.42% · α -29.34%
$0.8700
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CalciMedica filed an S-3 shelf registration, signaling potential future share issuance. The company has a market cap of $7M and reported a cash balance of $5.47M as of September 30, 2025, with an accumulated deficit of $178.6M. It has an active ATM offering with $2.6M remaining, and its financials show ongoing losses and substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$2.6M

Key Facts

  • Company has $5.47M in cash and $14.1M in cash equivalents and short-term investments as of September 30, 2025
  • Accumulated deficit of $178.6M and net loss of $18.8M for the nine months ended September 30, 2025
  • Substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern due to insufficient cash to fund operations for the next 12 months
  • Active ATM offering with $2.6M remaining under the shelf registration
  • Promissory note of $8.9M and warrant liability of $2.6M on the balance sheet
  • Market cap is $7M as of the filing date

Financial Impact

Potential dilution from future share issuance under the shelf registration, with up to $2.6M available under the ATM facility. The company's cash runway is limited, increasing the likelihood of near-term dilutive financing.

dilutioncash runwaymarket capequity value

Risk Factors

  • Substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern
  • Potential for significant shareholder dilution from future offerings
  • High warrant liability ($2.6M) that could impact future equity raises
  • Ongoing operating losses and negative cash flow from operations

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CONTEXT: 10-Q (2025-11-12)0001193125-25-277617
11 reports for CALC
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +35.71%Jun 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CALC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.02awaiting T+20—$1.31 (−28.43%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.65awaiting T+20—$1.31 (+20.61%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.65awaiting T+20—$1.31 (+20.61%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.10 $1.65▲ +21.43%▲ +21.28%$1.31 (+37.62%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.6577 $0.4590▲ +30.21%▲ +29.15%$1.31 (−99.18%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6577 $0.4590▼ −30.21%▼ −29.15%$1.31 (+99.18%)
Jul 10, 2026
15w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8178 $0.6590▼ −19.42%▼ −22.60%$1.31 (+60.19%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5973 $0.7159▼ −19.86%▼ −19.18%$1.31 (−119.32%)
May 12, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6300 $0.9320▲ +47.94%▲ +49.66%$1.31 (+107.94%)
Mar 12, 2026
32w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7260 $0.6180▼ −14.88%▼ −16.85%$1.31 (+80.44%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Mar 3, 2026