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8-K ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

CAG

CONAGRA BRANDS INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed27d 15h ago SEC0000023217-26-000052
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The EPS beat is overshadowed by continued organic sales decline and reaffirmed guidance that implies no acceleration. Watch for volume trends in Q2 to see if the volume decline is stabilizing; the back-half ramp implied by guidance is priced in.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
CAG ▼ -1.41% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -1.41% · α vs SPY -3.33% · entry $13.44 → $13.25
Next anchor: T+20d in 9h
Latest observation: T+17 +2.94% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.79%
call -1.79% · α -1.96%
$13.20
settled 27d ago
T+5d
-1.41%
call -1.41% · α -3.33%
$13.25
settled 21d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 9h
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Conagra Brands reported Q1 FY2027 adjusted EPS of $0.41, a 5.1% YoY increase and a 19.2% beat vs consensus of $0.34, driven by lower adjusted SG&A and higher equity earnings. However, reported net sales declined 1.4% YoY (organic -1.1%) on continued volume weakness, and gross margins contracted 62 bps. The company reaffirmed its full-year FY2027 guidance for organic sales decline of (3)% to (1)%, adjusted operating margin of 10.0%-10.5%, and adjusted EPS of $1.40-$1.50, which implies a back-half ramp. The EPS beat is notable but the top-line decline and reaffirmed guidance cap the upside.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.41
est $0.34 · +19.2%
Revenue
$2.6B
est $2.9B · -11.1% · -1.4% YoY
Rating
beat
Free Cash Flow
-$127.9M
Gross Margin
23.8%

Key Facts

  • Q1 FY2027 adjusted EPS of $0.41 vs consensus $0.34 (+19.2% beat)
  • Reported net sales of $2.60B declined 1.4% YoY; organic net sales declined 1.1%
  • Gross margin contracted 62 bps to 23.8% on an adjusted basis
  • Adjusted operating margin of 11.5% was down 33 bps YoY
  • Reaffirmed FY2027 guidance: organic sales (3)% to (1)%, adj. operating margin 10.0%-10.5%, adj. EPS $1.40-$1.50
  • Net debt of $7.4B with net leverage of 3.99x; free cash flow was negative ($128M) in the quarter
  • Dividend was reduced to an annualized $0.70/share in the prior quarter (July 8-K

Financial Impact

EPS beat consensus by $0.07/share on $0.41 vs $0.34 consensus; revenue miss of ~$320M vs $2.92B consensus

revenueepsgross marginoperating margin

Risk Factors

  • Organic sales declining for four consecutive quarters
  • Volume decline of 2.1% in Q1, driven by Grocery & Snacks volume -5.4%
  • Gross margin compression 62 bps contraction
  • Negative free cash flow of $128M in Q1 vs -$26M prior year

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000023217-26-000052
Document: tmb-20260930x8k.htm0000023217-26-000052
Document: 0000023217-26-000052-index-headers.html0000023217-26-000052
Document: 0000023217-26-000052-index.html0000023217-26-000052
Document: 0000023217-26-000052.txt0000023217-26-000052
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000023217-26-000052
18 reports for CAG
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +9.14%Apr 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CAG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.86awaiting T+60—$14.24 (−4.17%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$13.44awaiting T+60—$14.24 (+5.95%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.44awaiting T+60—$14.24 (+5.95%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.67awaiting T+60—$14.24 (−2.93%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.93awaiting T+60—$14.24 (−4.62%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$15.10awaiting T+60—$14.24 (+5.67%)
Jul 28, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$15.43 $14.04▼ −9.01%▼ −13.36%$14.24 (−7.71%)
Jul 28, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.43 $14.04▼ −9.01%▼ −13.36%$14.24 (−7.71%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
Insider Buy
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.83 $14.18▼ −4.38%▼ −7.64%$14.24 (−3.98%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$14.85 $13.70▲ +7.74%▲ +11.72%$14.24 (+4.11%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 17m)

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Report published Sep 30, 2026