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8-K ·Filed Aug 13, 2026

CADL

Candel Therapeutics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-347957
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The widening operating loss and binary BLA outcome in Q4 2026 create a high-risk/high-reward setup. Monitor for any FDA feedback or advisory committee announcements ahead of the BLA submission, as well as enrollment updates from the AURORA NSCLC trial. The $201.6M cash runway into Q1 2028 provides a long no-dilution window, but the stock will likely trade on pipeline catalysts rather than quarterly financials.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CADL ▼ -10.64% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -10.64% · α vs SPY -8.89% · entry $11.80 → $10.55
Next anchor: T+60d in 9d
Latest observation: T+50 -28.09% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.68%
call -0.68% · α -0.48%
$11.72
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+4.66%
call +4.66% · α +6.63%
$12.35
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-10.64%
call -10.64% · α -8.89%
$10.55
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 9d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Candel Therapeutics reported Q2 2026 financial results with a net loss of $38.9M ($0.52/share), significantly wider than the $4.8M loss in Q2 2025, driven by a $12.3M non-cash charge from warrant liability revaluation and higher R&D spend ($19.8M vs $7.0M). The clinical-stage biotech has no revenue and remains on track for a Q4 2026 BLA submission for aglatimagene in prostate cancer, with a strong cash position of $201.6M funding operations into Q1 2028. The Lancet Oncology publication of positive phase 3 data and activation of the AURORA NSCLC phase 3 trial are key pipeline catalysts, but the widening operating loss and lack of near-term revenue keep the stock in a binary event-driven pattern ahead of the BLA submission.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.52
est −$0.22 · -136.4%
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Net loss of $38.9M in Q2 2026 vs $4.8M loss in Q2 2025, primarily due to a $12.3M non-cash charge from change in fair value of warrant liabilities
  • R&D expenses rose to $19.8M from $7.0M year-over-year, driven by clinical trial and manufacturing costs for aglatimagene programs
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $201.6M as of June 30, 2026, expected to fund operations into Q1 2028
  • Pivotal phase 3 data for aglatimagene in localized prostate cancer published in The Lancet Oncology, showing 39% improvement in PCa-specific DFS
  • First trial site activated for the global pivotal phase 3 AURORA trial of aglatimagene in NSCLC
  • BLA submission for aglatimagene in prostate cancer planned for Q4 2026
  • Appointed Mark Sims as Chief Commercial Officer to support potential 2027 launch

Financial Impact

Net loss widened to $38.9M in Q2 2026 from $4.8M in Q2 2025; operating loss grew to $26.7M from $11.2M; cash burn rate increased significantly

net incomeoperating expensescash position

Risk Factors

  • BLA submission delay or negative FDA feedback on aglatimagene in prostate cancer
  • Further dilution risk if cash burn accelerates beyond current runway projections
  • Clinical trial failure in the AURORA NSCLC phase 3 study
  • Warrant liability revaluation could continue to cause volatile GAAP earnings swings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
87% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-347957
Document: cadl-20260813.htm0001193125-26-347957
Document: 0001193125-26-347957-index-headers.html0001193125-26-347957
Document: 0001193125-26-347957-index.html0001193125-26-347957
Document: 0001193125-26-347957.txt0001193125-26-347957
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-347957
21 reports for CADL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +67.70%Mar 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CADL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.16awaiting T+60—$8.25 (−18.80%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.44awaiting T+60—$8.25 (−20.98%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.33awaiting T+60—$8.25 (−27.18%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.33awaiting T+60—$8.25 (−27.18%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.16awaiting T+60—$8.25 (−32.15%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.80awaiting T+60—$8.25 (−30.08%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$11.80awaiting T+60—$8.25 (−30.08%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.07 $8.16▼ −18.97%▼ −20.75%$8.25 (−18.07%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.83 $11.19▲ +13.84%▲ +11.04%$8.25 (−16.07%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.83 $11.19▲ +13.84%▲ +11.04%$8.25 (−16.07%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 9h 25m

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Report published Aug 13, 2026