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DEFA14A ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

BWMN

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-341432
Proxy solicitation materials
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

BWMN stock should trade near the $43 deal price less time value and deal-risk discount. The go-shop period (through Sept 13) introduces potential for a competing bid, which could drive the stock above $43. Key risks to monitor: antitrust clearance under HSR, shareholder vote (15.3% already committed via support agreements), and financing conditions. The strong Q2 revenue growth and reaffirmed guidance provide fundamental support but are secondary to the merger premium. Spread-widening would signal rising deal-risk.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
BWMN ▲ +0.35% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.35% · α vs SPY +1.27% · entry $42.42 → $42.57
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+53 +35.83% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 10, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.12%
call -0.12% · α +0.20%
$42.37
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.12%
call -0.12% · α -0.07%
$42.37
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+0.35%
call +0.35% · α +1.27%
$42.57
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) announced a definitive agreement to be acquired by Bernhard Capital Partners for $43.00 per share in cash, representing a ~58% premium to the unaffected closing price of $27.23. The all-cash transaction values the company at approximately $1.0 billion enterprise value and is expected to close in Q4 2026 or Q1 2027, subject to shareholder approval, regulatory clearance, and customary conditions. The company also reported Q2 2026 earnings showing 19.7% gross revenue growth to $146.1M but net income declining to $2.5M from $6.0M year-over-year.

Key Financial Metrics

Vote
merger approval

Key Facts

  • All-cash consideration of $43.00 per share, a ~58% premium to the August 7, 2026 closing price of $27.23
  • Enterprise value of approximately $1.0 billion
  • 35-day go-shop period ending September 13, 2026
  • Support agreements from CEO Gary Bowman and CFO Bruce Labovitz covering ~15.3% of outstanding voting power
  • Equity financing commitment of $605.21M from BCP funds and debt financing commitments totaling $550M ($420M term loan, $65M revolver, $65M delayed draw)
  • Company termination fee of $26.86M (reduced to $13.43M for Excluded Party superior proposals before Sept 28, 2026); Parent termination fee of $46.05M
  • Q2 2026: Gross contract revenue $146.1M (+19.7% YoY), Net service billing $129.0M (+19.4%), Net income $2.5M vs $6.0M, Adjusted EBITDA $24.1M (+19.2%)
  • 2026 guidance reaffirmed: Net revenue $520-$540M, Adjusted EBITDA margin 17.2%-17.7%

Financial Impact

Shareholders to receive $43.00 per share in cash, a ~58% premium over the unaffected price. Total equity value ~$746M based on 17.33M shares outstanding. Enterprise value ~$1.0B including net debt.

stock priceenterprise valueshare count

Risk Factors

  • Antitrust or regulatory delays/failure under HSR Act
  • Shareholder vote failure despite insider support (15.3% locked up)
  • Financing failure despite committed equity and debt commitments
  • Superior proposal during go-shop period could terminate deal or reduce premium
  • Litigation challenging the merger could delay or block closing

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Management Consulting Services
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-341432
Document: 0001193125-26-341432-index-headers.html0001193125-26-341432
Document: 0001193125-26-341432-index.html0001193125-26-341432
Document: 0001193125-26-341432.txt0001193125-26-341432
29 reports for BWMN
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 9 of 12 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 13 best @ T+60▲ +34.61%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BWMN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.83awaiting T+20—$42.83 (+0.00%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.79awaiting T+20—$42.83 (+0.09%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$42.79awaiting T+20—$42.83 (+0.09%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$42.76awaiting T+20—$42.83 (+0.16%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$42.61 $42.85▲ +0.56%▲ +0.59%$42.83 (+0.52%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.46 $42.74▲ +0.66%▼ −2.06%$42.83 (+0.87%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$42.46 $42.74▲ +0.66%▼ −2.06%$42.83 (+0.87%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.46 $42.74▲ +0.66%▼ −2.06%$42.83 (+0.87%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$42.43 $42.80▲ +0.87%▼ −1.39%$42.83 (+0.94%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$42.43 $42.80▲ +0.87%▼ −1.39%$42.83 (+0.94%)
Showing 10 of 29

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 17m)

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Report published Aug 10, 2026