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DEFA14A ·Filed Sep 14, 2026

BWIN

Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0000950103-26-013922
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The stock should trade toward the expected deal price as the merger vote approaches. Monitor for the definitive proxy statement (Schedule 14A) and Schedule 13E-3 for the exact per-share consideration and timeline. The deal is management-led and backed by high-quality capital partners, suggesting a high probability of completion. Traders should consider the arbitrage spread and the risk of a delayed or failed vote.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+20d ⚠ clustered
BWIN ▼ -1.91% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.91% · α vs SPY -4.63% · entry $32.49 → $31.87
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+28 -16.84% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.39%
call -1.39% · α -0.94%
$32.04
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-1.66%
call -1.66% · α -3.77%
$31.95
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-1.91%
call -1.91% · α -4.63%
$31.87
settled 16d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Baldwin Insurance Group (BWIN) is taking itself private via a merger with entities backed by DFO Management (Michael Dell's family office) and Sequence Holdings. The definitive proxy materials filed today seek shareholder approval for the going-private transaction, which management argues will allow for longer-term investment in AI and talent without the constraints of quarterly public market reporting. The deal represents a significant premium to the unaffected stock price and is being pursued from a position of strength, with the company citing six consecutive years of industry-leading organic growth.

Key Financial Metrics

Vote
merger approval

Key Facts

  • Baldwin Insurance Group is returning to private ownership via a merger with Square Acquisition Parent, Inc., backed by DFO Management (Michael Dell's family office) and Sequence Holdings.
  • The transaction requires stockholder approval via a proxy statement on Schedule 14A and a Schedule 13E-3 will be filed.
  • Management cites the need for long-term investment in AI and talent, and freedom from quarterly reporting constraints, as the primary rationale.
  • The company highlights six consecutive years of top-of-industry organic growth and eleven consecutive years as a Best Place to Work.
  • Colleague ownership will continue post-transaction, according to CEO Trevor Baldwin's letter.
  • The definitive proxy materials (DEFA14A) were filed on September 14, 2026.

Financial Impact

Going-private transaction at a premium to market price; specific per-share price not disclosed in these materials. Deal backed by DFO Management (Michael Dell's family office) and Sequence Holdings.

stock pricemarket capitalizationownership structure

Risk Factors

  • Stockholder approval may not be obtained.
  • Regulatory approvals may not be received or may impose conditions.
  • The Buyer may fail to secure necessary financing.
  • The transaction could be terminated under certain circumstances.
  • Potential litigation related to the transaction could delay or prevent closing.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Analyst Consensus
71% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (BWIN) — Batch item 10000950103-26-013922
Document: 0000950103-26-013922-index-headers.html0000950103-26-013922
Document: 0000950103-26-013922-index.html0000950103-26-013922
Document: 0000950103-26-013922.txt0000950103-26-013922
DEFA14A Filing (BWIN) — Batch item 50000950103-26-013922
Document: 0000950103-26-013922-index-headers.html0000950103-26-013922
Document: 0000950103-26-013922-index.html0000950103-26-013922
Document: 0000950103-26-013922.txt0000950103-26-013922
13 reports for BWIN
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate @ T+1 1 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 4 best @ T+1▲ +1.53%Sep 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BWIN, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$31.91awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$31.91 (−0.00%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
SC 13E-3
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$31.93 $31.91▼ −0.06%▲ +1.04%$31.91 (−0.06%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$31.93 $31.91▼ −0.06%▲ +1.04%$31.91 (−0.06%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.81 $31.85▲ +0.13%▲ +0.55%$31.91 (+0.31%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$31.82 $31.78▼ −0.13%▲ +0.06%$31.91 (+0.28%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.89 $31.95▲ +0.19%▲ +0.20%$31.91 (+0.06%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$32.49 $32.04▼ −1.39%▼ −0.94%$31.91 (−1.79%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$32.49 $32.04▼ −1.39%▼ −0.94%$31.91 (−1.79%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$32.00 $32.49▲ +1.53%▲ +1.99%$31.91 (−0.28%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.88 $19.24▼ −3.22%▼ −3.45%$31.91 (+60.51%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens in 4h 14m

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Report published Sep 14, 2026