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8-K ·Filed May 15, 2026

BTAI

BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-061773
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The strategic review process (MTS Health Partners) creates binary optionality — a sale or partnership could provide a premium, but the cash runway is tight (~4 months). The Nov 14 PDUFA date is the next major catalyst. Monitor for any pre-announcement of a deal or financing before cash runs out.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
BTAI ▼ -18.25% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -18.25% · α vs SPY -22.77% · entry $1.14 → $0.9319
Entry = T+0 close
May 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.88%
call -0.88% · α -0.81%
$1.13
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-0.88%
call -0.88% · α -1.84%
$1.13
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+1.75%
call +1.75% · α -0.36%
$1.16
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-18.25%
call -18.25% · α -22.77%
$0.9319
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BioXcel Therapeutics reported Q1 2026 revenue of $206K (up 22.6% YoY from $168K) and a GAAP net loss of $12.7M ($0.54/share), wider than the $7.3M loss in Q1 2025. The FDA accepted the sNDA for IGALMI at-home use with a PDUFA date of Nov 14, 2026, and the company engaged MTS Health Partners to explore strategic options including a potential sale. Cash burn continues rapidly — cash dropped from $28.8M to $17.2M in the quarter, giving roughly 4 months of runway at current burn rates.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.54
est −$0.59 · +8.5%
Revenue
$206.0K
est $381.0K · -45.9% · +22.6% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • FDA accepted sNDA for IGALMI at-home use; PDUFA date set for Nov 14, 2026
  • Engaged MTS Health Partners to evaluate strategic options including sale, merger, or collaboration
  • Q1 2026 net revenue $206K vs $168K YoY (22.6% increase)
  • Net loss widened to $12.7M from $7.3M in Q1 2025
  • Cash and restricted cash fell to $17.2M from $28.8M at Dec 31, 2025 (burn ~$11.6M/quarter)
  • Weighted average shares outstanding surged to 23.6M from 4.8M YoY (massive dilution)
  • Net loss per share improved to -$0.54 from -$1.50 due to share count increase
  • SG&A expenses rose to $7.2M from $5.7M due to higher professional fees for strategic review
  • R&D expenses decreased to $3.0M from $4.6M as SERENITY Phase 3 trial completed
  • Company remains in compliance with credit agreement covenants

Financial Impact

Cash burn of ~$11.6M/quarter with $17.2M remaining — runway to approximately Q3 2026 without additional financing or strategic transaction

revenuenet losscashdilution

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway only ~4 months at current burn rate — likely needs financing or strategic deal before Q3 2026
  • Massive dilution from 4.8M to 23.6M shares outstanding YoY
  • IGALMI current revenue ($206K/quarter) is de minimis and declining in absolute terms from prior year levels
  • Strategic review may not result in any transaction
  • sNDA approval is not guaranteed; PDUFA date is Nov 14, 2026

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-061773
Document: tm2614679d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-061773
Document: 0001104659-26-061773-index-headers.html0001104659-26-061773
Document: 0001104659-26-061773-index.html0001104659-26-061773
Document: 0001104659-26-061773.txt0001104659-26-061773
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-061773
14 reports for BTAI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 10 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +95.39%Aug 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BTAI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$0.1370awaiting T+60——
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$0.1814awaiting T+60——
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.7422awaiting T+60——
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.9320awaiting T+60——
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.8480awaiting T+60——
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.10awaiting T+60——
May 22, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.22 $0.8274▲ +32.18%▲ +34.91%—
May 20, 2026
22w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.14 $0.8900▼ −21.93%▼ −26.23%—
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$1.14 $0.9319▼ −18.25%▼ −22.77%—
May 15, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.14 $0.9319▲ +18.25%▲ +22.77%—
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (15h 56m)

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Report published May 15, 2026