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Institutional Cluster

BRCB

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is entirely passive, reflecting index rebalancing rather than fundamental conviction. Monitor for any subsequent active-manager filings or insider buying to confirm a genuine thesis. The 13F data is 45+ days stale — current positioning may differ.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BRCB ▲ +36.08% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +36.08% · α vs SPY +31.68% · entry $7.04 → $9.58
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.69%
call +4.69% · α +4.15%
$7.37
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+3.84%
call +3.84% · α +3.40%
$7.31
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+15.20%
call +15.20% · α +13.31%
$8.11
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+36.08%
call +36.08% · α +31.68%
$9.58
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive institutional investors (BlackRock, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley) initiated new positions in BRCB during Q3 2025, collectively accumulating $64.0M in shares. This cluster is entirely passive/index-driven, likely reflecting index rebalancing or inclusion in a new benchmark, rather than an active investment thesis. The signal is weak from an alpha perspective, as passive flows do not convey fundamental conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$64.0M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$64.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $64.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
BlackRockNEW—$11.9M$11.9M
FidelityNEW—$30.9M$30.9M
Morgan StanleyNEW—$21.1M$21.1M

Key Facts

  • 3 mega-passive funds initiated new positions totaling $64.0M in Q3 2025
  • No sellers in the cluster — all activity is one-sided buying
  • All three buyers are passive/index managers (BlackRock, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley)
  • No active managers or hedge funds participated in the cluster

Financial Impact

Three passive institutions accumulated $64.0M in new BRCB positions during Q3 2025, representing approximately 19.8% of the company's $323M market cap based on disclosed holdings.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive flows are not a directional signal — the cluster may have been unwound or rebalanced since quarter-end
  • 13F data has a 45-day reporting lag; current institutional positioning is unknown
  • No active manager participation reduces the signal's predictive value for alpha generation

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BRCB-2025-Q3
26 reports for BRCB
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +18.57%May 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BRCB — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.81awaiting T+60——
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.25awaiting T+60——
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.19awaiting T+60——
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.19awaiting T+60——
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.48awaiting T+60——
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.54awaiting T+60——
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.13awaiting T+60——
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.13awaiting T+60——
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.23awaiting T+60——
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.97 $9.81▲ +23.09%▲ +20.62%—
Showing 10 of 26

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 3h 31m

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Report published Jun 11, 2026