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SC 13D/A ·Filed Oct 14, 2026

BMBL

Bumble Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed12d 12h ago SEC0001193125-26-421973
Activist stake amendment (position change)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The merger agreement provides a clear exit path for Blackstone at a fixed cash price of $6.05 per share. Monitor shareholder vote and regulatory approvals; any delay or renegotiation risk would be negative. The termination of forward transactions removes overhang and simplifies the capital structure ahead of the deal close.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
BMBL ▲ +0.17% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.17% · α vs SPY +1.18% · entry $5.93 → $5.94
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+6 -13.93% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.17%
call +0.17% · α +1.28%
$5.94
settled 12d ago
T+5d
+0.17%
call +0.17% · α +1.18%
$5.94
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Blackstone filed Amendment No. 13 to its Schedule 13D on Bumble Inc., reporting that Bumble entered into a definitive merger agreement on October 12, 2026, to be acquired by Ithaca Holdco, Inc. for $6.05 per share in cash. Blackstone, as a major stockholder, disclosed its ongoing beneficial ownership and the termination of certain forward transactions. This filing signals the culmination of Blackstone's activist campaign via a take-private transaction.

Key Financial Metrics

Stake
12%
Investor
Blackstone Holdings III L.P.

Key Facts

  • Bumble entered into a merger agreement on October 12, 2026, to be acquired by Ithaca Holdco, Inc.
  • Each share of Class A Common Stock will be converted into the right to receive $6.05 in cash.
  • Blackstone entities collectively beneficially own 15,901,210 shares of Class A Common Stock, representing 12.0% of the class.
  • Forward transactions terminated on October 13, 2026, with a final settlement price of $3.5923 per share.
  • Blackstone and Whitney Wolfe Herd and her affiliates collectively may be deemed to beneficially own 38,524,694 shares, representing 25.1% of Class A Common Stock.
  • As of October 13, 2026, 15,901,210 shares remain pledged under margin loan agreements with an outstanding principal of approximately $9,387,932.70.

Financial Impact

All-cash acquisition at $6.05 per share, representing a premium over the recent forward settlement price of $3.5923 per share. Total equity value implied by the merger is approximately $798 million based on 131,968,314 Class A shares outstanding.

revenuedilutiondebt

Risk Factors

  • Merger may be subject to regulatory approvals and stockholder approval; failure to close would be a significant negative.
  • The $6.05 per share price may be viewed as inadequate by some shareholders, potentially leading to litigation or a higher bid.
  • Blackstone's pledged shares and margin loan introduce financing complexity that could affect deal execution.

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13D/A Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-421973
Document: 0001193125-26-421973-index.html0001193125-26-421973
Document: 0001193125-26-421973.txt0001193125-26-421973
17 reports for BMBL
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +27.78%Mar 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BMBL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.95 $5.94▼ −0.17%▲ +1.01%$5.97 (+0.34%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.96 $5.95▼ −0.17%▼ −0.50%$5.97 (+0.17%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.93 $5.94▲ +0.17%▲ +1.28%$5.97 (+0.67%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.93 $5.94▲ +0.17%▲ +1.28%$5.97 (+0.67%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.93 $5.94▲ +0.17%▲ +1.28%$5.97 (+0.67%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.95 $5.97▲ +0.34%▲ +1.42%$5.97 (+0.34%)
Oct 12, 2026
14d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.80 $5.95▲ +56.58%▲ +56.59%$5.97 (+57.11%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.50 $2.57▲ +2.60%▲ +3.02%$5.97 (+138.80%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$2.55 $2.54▲ +0.39%▲ +1.13%$5.97 (−134.12%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.55 $2.54▼ −0.39%▼ −1.13%$5.97 (+134.12%)
Showing 10 of 17

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Report published Oct 14, 2026