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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 12, 2026

BMBL

Bumble Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed14d 13h ago
Institutional cluster: 34 buyers, 27 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The near-zero net flow and dominance of passive rebalancing suggest no shared active thesis. Watch for a fresh 13F filing in November to see if the selling accelerated or reversed — a continued exodus by active quants (Millennium, Jane Street) would be more bearish than this stale snapshot.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
BMBL ▲ +56.84% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +56.84% · α vs SPY +58.34% · entry $3.80 → $5.96
Next anchor: T+20d in 13d
Latest observation: T+9 +51.39% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+56.58%
call +56.58% · α +56.59%
$5.95
settled 14d ago
T+5d
+56.84%
call +56.84% · α +58.34%
$5.96
settled 8d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 13d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Executive Summary

Bumble Inc. (BMBL) saw a mixed institutional cluster in Q2 2026, with 34 buyers adding $14.6M in net value and 27 sellers reducing by $14.2M. The buying was dominated by mega-passive funds (Geode, BofA, Vanguard) and a quant (Citadel doubling its stake), while the selling was concentrated among mega-passive and quant sellers (Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Millennium, Jane Street) making deep trims or near-exits. The near-equal net dollar flows and stale 45-day lag suggest no fresh catalyst — the cluster likely reflects passive rebalancing and tactical quant rotation rather than a strong active thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$51.1M
Net Flow
$400.0K

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $400.0K

▲ Buyers (34)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Vanguard Portfolio ManagementADD+32.8%$20.4M$4.7M
BofAADD+54.7%$9.5M$3.2M
CitadelDOUBLED+209.5%$3.6M$2.4M
GeodeADD+32.9%$8.1M$1.9M
Susquehanna International GroupADD+31.9%$3.9M$878.0K

▼ Sellers (27)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyTRIM-69.3%$5.5M-$3.9M
Goldman SachsNEAR_EXIT-78.1%$4.6M-$3.6M
Jane Street GroupTRIM-70.9%$3.9M-$2.8M
Victory Capital ManagementNEAR_EXIT-98.2%$1.9M-$1.9M
MillenniumNEAR_EXIT-90.1%$965.0K-$871.0K

Key Facts

  • 34 buyers added $14.6M in net new value; 27 sellers reduced by $14.2M — near perfectly offsetting
  • Top buyers: Vanguard Portfolio Management (+$4.7M), BofA (+$3.2M), Citadel (+$2.4M, doubled stake)
  • Top sellers: Morgan Stanley (-$3.9M, trimmed 69%), Goldman Sachs (-$3.6M, near-exit), Jane Street (-$2.8M, trimmed 71%)
  • Mega-passive funds dominate both sides; active manager conviction is absent
  • Data is as of June 30, 2026 — positions may have been unwound in the 45+ days since

Financial Impact

34 institutions accumulated $14.6M in new BMBL positions while 27 institutions reduced by $14.2M — net institutional flow was essentially flat at +$0.4M

institutional ownershipfloat turnover

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; current positioning may differ materially
  • No active value or activist funds appear in the cluster — the signal is weak
  • Insider buying/selling data was not provided; no insider corroboration to strengthen the cluster

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BMBL-2026-Q2
17 reports for BMBL
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+1 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +27.78%Mar 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BMBL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.95 $5.94▼ −0.17%▲ +1.01%—
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.96 $5.95▼ −0.17%▼ −0.50%—
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.93 $5.94▲ +0.17%▲ +1.28%—
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.93 $5.94▲ +0.17%▲ +1.28%—
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.93 $5.94▲ +0.17%▲ +1.28%—
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.95 $5.97▲ +0.34%▲ +1.42%—
Oct 12, 2026
14d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.80 $5.95▲ +56.58%▲ +56.59%—
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.50 $2.57▲ +2.60%▲ +3.02%—
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$2.55 $2.54▲ +0.39%▲ +1.13%—
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.55 $2.54▼ −0.39%▼ −1.13%—
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 30m)

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Report published Oct 12, 2026