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Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed Jul 15, 2026

BLLN

BillionToOne, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonimmediate Processed3mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $0.5M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

No immediate trading signal from this cluster — the dollar amounts are too small to indicate informed selling.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BLLN ▼ -23.47% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -23.47% · α vs SPY -27.44% · entry $128.18 → $98.09
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.66%
call +1.66% · α +2.65%
$130.31
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+0.59%
call +0.59% · α +2.26%
$128.94
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-26.63%
call -26.63% · α -30.25%
$94.04
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-23.47%
call -23.47% · α -27.44%
$98.09
settled 19d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three insiders at BillionToOne, including CEO Oguzhan Atay and CTO David Tsao, sold a total of $538K in shares over a one-week window. The CTO exercised 20,000 options at $2.80/share simultaneously with open-market sales, suggesting a cashless exercise/hedge strategy. Relative to a $5.7B market cap, the cluster represents ~0.009% — far below the 0.1% threshold for materiality. Per the literature, insider sales clusters are weak predictors, and these sales appear liquidity-driven or tax-related, not based on negative non-public information.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$538.0K
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • CEO Oguzhan Atay sold 2,700 shares for ~$339K on July 9.
  • CTO David Tsao sold 16,015 shares total (including same-day option exercises) for ~$2.1M in gross proceeds; netting option cost of $56K for 20,000 shares exercised at $2.80.
  • SVP of Lab Operations John ten Bosch sold 1,417 shares for ~$178K.
  • Chief Product Officer Shan Sakakibara sold 174 shares for ~$22K.
  • Total cluster value of $538K (open market) is ~0.009% of $5.7B market cap — well under the 0.1% materiality floor.
  • No insider purchases occurred during the window.

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of $538K over 7 days; statistically negligible relative to $5.7B market cap

dilution

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling at a ~$125 price near IPO or lockup expiry may signal eventual dilution if a secondary offering follows.
  • Historical cluster of sells preceded by strong stock performance — normal profit-taking by insiders post-IPO.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Medical Laboratories
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-BLLN-1784185546495
29 reports for BLLN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +26.26%Mar 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BLLN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$105.76awaiting T+60—$111.46 (−5.39%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$118.18awaiting T+60—$111.46 (+5.68%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$124.90awaiting T+60—$111.46 (+10.76%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$116.07awaiting T+60—$111.46 (−3.97%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$116.07awaiting T+60—$111.46 (+3.97%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$110.67awaiting T+60—$111.46 (−0.72%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$100.82awaiting T+60—$111.46 (+10.56%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$100.82awaiting T+60—$111.46 (+10.56%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$93.24awaiting T+60—$111.46 (+19.55%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$93.24awaiting T+60—$111.46 (+19.55%)
Showing 10 of 29

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 7h 13m

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Report published Jul 16, 2026