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Institutional Cluster

BLDP

Ballard Power Systems Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 18 buyers, 3 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The institutional cluster is directionally bullish but the stock has underperformed since quarter-end. Monitor for any catalyst (earnings, contract wins, hydrogen policy) that could re-validate the thesis. The absence of insider buying and poor historical BLDP report performance suggest caution — consider waiting for price confirmation before entering.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BLDP ▼ -7.50% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -7.50% · α vs SPY -6.97% · entry $2.40 → $2.22
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 +43.13% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.58%
call -4.58% · α -4.29%
$2.29
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-6.25%
call -6.25% · α -6.72%
$2.25
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-7.50%
call -7.50% · α -6.97%
$2.22
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 20d

Executive Summary

A strong institutional cluster formed in BLDP during 2026-Q2, with 18 buyers accumulating $34.0M in net new positions against only 3 sellers trimming $3.8M. The buying is dominated by quant and asset managers (RenTech, Jane Street, Goldman Sachs, Susquehanna) making large percentage increases, while the selling is limited to passive mega-funds (JPMorgan, UBS). The absence of insider buying (confluence score 35/100, institutions_only) weakens conviction further.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$39.6M
Sell Value
$3.8M
Net Flow
$34.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $34.0M

▲ Buyers (18)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
RenTechDOUBLED+671.8%$16.9M$15.5M
Jane Street GroupDOUBLED+258.3%$11.4M$9.4M
Goldman SachsDOUBLED+634%$4.5M$4.1M
BofAADD+44.2%$3.2M$1.8M
American Century CompaniesDOUBLED+402.7%$1.8M$1.5M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
UBSTRIM-49.8%$14.1M-$2.7M
JPMorganTRIM-60.4%$2.8M-$988.3K
Royal Bank Of CanadaTRIM-40.9%$1.5M-$78.0K

Key Facts

  • 18 institutional buyers vs 3 sellers in 2026-Q2
  • Net institutional buying of $34.0M (buyers $39.6M, sellers $3.8M)
  • RenTech doubled position to $16.9M (largest buyer)
  • Jane Street doubled to $11.4M, Goldman Sachs doubled to $4.5M
  • No insider open-market buying during the window (institutions-only signal)

Financial Impact

18 institutions accumulated $34.0M in net new BLDP positions during 2026-Q2, while 3 sellers reduced holdings by $3.8M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 45-day 13F reporting lag means positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • No insider buying corroboration (institutions-only signal is weaker)
  • Analyst consensus is bearish (0% bullish, 6 sell/strong sell ratings)
  • Hydrogen sector remains speculative with uncertain policy support

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electrical Industrial Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BLDP-2026-Q2
24 reports for BLDP
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +24.49%May 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BLDP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.49awaiting T+5——
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.52awaiting T+5——
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.52awaiting T+5——
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.51awaiting T+5——
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.52awaiting T+5——
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$2.00 $1.70▼ −15.00%▼ −14.02%—
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.05 $1.91▼ −6.83%▼ −7.99%—
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$2.25 $2.34▲ +4.00%▲ +3.89%—
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$2.40 $2.25▼ −6.25%▼ −6.72%—
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$2.67 $2.62▼ −1.87%▼ −5.38%—
Showing 10 of 24

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 21, 2026