SecBot SecBot
EFFECT ·Filed Jun 30, 2026

BIVI

BIOVIE INC.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002154
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effective shelf puts immediate dilution risk on the table. Monitor for a prospectus supplement announcing a takedown (e.g., registered direct offering, ATM program). Given the small float and weak historical price response to filings, any offering announcement could pressure the stock. Traders should watch for overnight filings of a prospectus supplement.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BIVI ▼ -15.98% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +15.98% · α vs SPY +18.80% · entry $1.94 → $1.63
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+12.37%
call -12.37% · α -12.51%
$2.18
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+8.25%
call -8.25% · α -7.64%
$2.10
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-29.38%
call +29.38% · α +28.35%
$1.37
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-15.98%
call +15.98% · α +18.80%
$1.63
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

BioVie Inc.'s S-3 shelf registration statement (File No. 333-296924) became effective on June 29, 2026, allowing the company to offer up to $300 million in securities. As a smaller reporting company with a non-affiliate market value of ~$12.5 million, primary offerings are limited to ~$4.17 million per 12-month period under General Instruction I.B.6. The effectiveness introduces a tangible dilution overhang for this $15 million market cap clinical-stage biotech.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration effective June 29, 2026, for up to $300,000,000 in securities (common stock, preferred, warrants, debt, rights, units).
  • Non-affiliate public float was ~$12.5 million as of June 8, 2026, capping primary common stock offerings at ~$4.17 million (one-third of float) per 12 months under I.B.6.
  • Stock closed at $1.66 on June 11, 2026; market cap ~$15 million.
  • Company is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical preparation firm with no approved products.

Financial Impact

Potential primary offering of up to ~$4.17 million (one-third of non-affiliate market value) represents ~28% dilution relative to current $15M market cap. Additional securities (warrants, debt) could further dilute or add leverage.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Imminent equity offering could dilute existing shareholders by ~25% or more.
  • Clinical-stage biotech with no revenue; shelf may be used to fund operations, signaling cash burn concerns.
  • Low liquidity and small market cap amplify price impact of any offering.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002154
Document: 9999999995-26-002154-index.html9999999995-26-002154
Document: 9999999995-26-002154.txt9999999995-26-002154
9 reports for BIVI
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +50.37%Aug 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BIVI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.37awaiting T+20—$1.42 (+4.01%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.75 $1.20▼ −31.43%▼ −34.41%$1.42 (−18.57%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
S-1/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.17 $1.75▼ −49.57%▼ −51.55%$1.42 (−21.79%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
S-1/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.35 $2.03▼ −50.37%▼ −49.77%$1.42 (−5.56%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.35 $2.03▲ +50.37%▲ +49.77%$1.42 (+5.56%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
S-1/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.62 $2.28▼ −40.74%▼ −39.50%$1.42 (+12.04%)
Jun 30, 2026
17w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.94 $1.37▲ +29.38%▲ +28.35%$1.42 (+26.55%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.59 $1.44▼ −9.43%▼ −14.39%$1.42 (−10.38%)
Apr 14, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.46 $1.35▼ −7.53%▼ −13.83%$1.42 (−2.40%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 4h 21m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Jun 30, 2026