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Institutional Cluster

BGS

B&G Foods, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 9 buyers, 10 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The mixed cluster with net selling pressure and zero insider buying suggests continued institutional distribution in BGS. A contrarian entry would require a catalyst such as a meaningful debt reduction or operational turnaround, neither of which is evident from this cluster.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BGS ▼ -15.32% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +15.32% · α vs SPY +14.79% · entry $3.46 → $2.93
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 +23.61% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.87%
call -0.87% · α -1.16%
$3.49
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+1.73%
call -1.73% · α -1.26%
$3.52
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-15.32%
call +15.32% · α +14.79%
$2.93
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 20d

Executive Summary

B&G Foods (BGS) saw a mixed institutional cluster in Q2 2026, with 9 buyers adding $5.7M in net new positions (led by Dimensional Fund Advisors' $3.9M addition and Millennium's $1.1M increase) while 10 sellers reduced holdings by $12.0M (led by Morgan Stanley's $4.9M trim and Citigroup's $2.2M near-exit). The net selling pressure of ~$6.2M, combined with zero insider buying (confluence score 33/100, institutions-only signal), suggests institutional conviction is weak and the stock remains under distribution by major passive managers despite opportunistic buying by quant funds and Dimensional.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$16.3M
Sell Value
$12.0M
Net Flow
-$6.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$6.2M

▲ Buyers (9)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Dimensional Fund AdvisorsADD+78.6%$11.9M$3.9M
MillenniumDOUBLED+1342%$1.3M$1.1M
CitadelDOUBLED+561.8%$475.0K$388.0K

▼ Sellers (10)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyTRIM-28.5%$12.0M-$4.9M
CitigroupNEAR_EXIT-77.4%$2.7M-$2.2M
RenTechNEAR_EXIT-81.6%$2.0M-$1.7M

Key Facts

  • 9 institutional buyers added $5.7M in net new positions in Q2 2026
  • 10 institutional sellers reduced holdings by $12.0M, creating net selling pressure of ~$6.2M
  • Dimensional Fund Advisors was the largest buyer, adding $3.9M (78.6% share increase)
  • Morgan Stanley was the largest seller, trimming $4.9M (28.5% reduction)
  • No open-market insider buying detected; confluence score 33/100 (institutions-only signal)
  • Analyst consensus is bearish: 0 Buy, 6 Hold, 6 Sell/Strong Sell

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of approximately $6.2M in Q2 2026, with $16.3M in total buyer positions versus $12.0M in seller reductions

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound or added to since quarter-end
  • Net selling is modest relative to $289M market cap (~2.1% of float), limiting downside signal strength

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Food and Kindred Products
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BGS-2026-Q2
9 reports for BGS
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for BGS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.42awaiting T+20——
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.44awaiting T+20——
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$3.46 $2.93▲ +15.32%▲ +14.79%—
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.58 $3.22▼ −10.06%▼ −8.16%—
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.90 $3.96▼ −1.54%▲ +0.32%—
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$3.99 $3.98▼ −0.25%▲ +1.05%—
May 5, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.38 $4.02▼ −25.28%▼ −28.06%—
Apr 3, 2026
29w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.04 $5.36▲ +6.35%▼ −2.63%—
Mar 12, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.24 $5.42▲ +3.44%▼ −0.16%—
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 21, 2026