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S-3 ·Filed Jul 20, 2026

BGDE

Big Digital Energy, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001213900-26-079673
Shelf registration — potential dilution
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Expect heavy selling pressure as insiders and Yorkville begin resales after the S-3 becomes effective (likely within days). The floating conversion price means any stock decline accelerates dilution — a classic toxic financing dynamic. Watch for any stockholder vote at the November 2026 annual meeting to lift the 19.99% exchange cap, which would unlock even more dilution. The company's cash burn and debt load make further capital raises almost certain, compounding the overhang.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
BGDE ▼ -11.58% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +11.58% · α vs SPY +15.55% · entry $5.96 → $5.27
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.68%
call -1.68% · α -1.79%
$6.06
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-11.58%
call +11.58% · α +10.35%
$5.27
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+10.23%
call -10.23% · α -7.67%
$6.57
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-11.58%
call +11.58% · α +15.55%
$5.27
settled 15d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Big Digital Energy (BGDE) filed an S-3 resale registration for up to 10,924,527 shares of common stock (199% dilution vs. 5.5M shares outstanding) issuable upon conversion of Series D Preferred Stock and exercise of a warrant held by insiders and Yorkville Advisors. The company receives no proceeds from resales; the underlying $15.03M private placement closed June 30 provided temporary liquidity, but the floating conversion price (95% of 5-day VWAP, $1.80 floor) and massive potential dilution create severe downward pressure on the stock. Q1 2026 revenue fell 65% YoY to $4.8M, operating cash burn was $17M, and cash stood at only $2.4M — the company is financially strained and this registration enables a toxic overhang that will likely crush the common equity.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$70.1M
Dilution
199%

Key Facts

  • Up to 10,924,527 shares registered for resale — 199% dilution relative to 5,486,730 shares outstanding as of March 31, 2026
  • Series D Preferred Stock convertible at floating price (95% of lowest 5-day VWAP) with $1.80 floor; dividends accrue at 5% (18% during trigger events) payable in PIK or cash
  • Company will not receive any proceeds from resales; warrant cash exercise proceeds (if any) go to general corporate purposes
  • Q1 2026 revenue $4.82M, down 65% from $13.81M in Q1 2025; operating loss $8.15M; operating cash burn $17.1M
  • Cash and cash equivalents $2.44M vs. $42.68M in current liabilities — working capital deficit of ~$22.8M
  • Selling stockholders include Six Thirty AI (controlled by management) and YA II PN, LTD. (Yorkville Advisors, a known toxic lender)
  • Nasdaq compliance regained June 16, 2026 but requires maintaining $5M+ equity each quarter
  • Related-party $40M revolving credit line at 12% interest with $2.5M drawn as of June 30, 2026

Financial Impact

Maximum aggregate offering price of $70.1M (based on $6.42/share) — 199% potential dilution. The floating conversion mechanism creates a self-reinforcing downward spiral if the stock declines toward the $1.80 floor.

dilutionshare pricemarket capstockholders' equity

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution from conversion of Series D Preferred and warrant exercise — up to 199% of current shares outstanding
  • Floating conversion price with $1.80 floor creates a death spiral: lower stock price → more shares issued → more selling → lower price
  • Restrictive covenants in the Certificate of Designations limit the company's ability to incur debt or enter variable-rate transactions
  • Nasdaq delisting risk if stockholders' equity falls below $5M in any quarter
  • Related-party transactions (management-controlled entities) raise governance concerns and potential conflicts of interest

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-079673
Document: ea029819001ex-fee.htm0001213900-26-079673
Document: ea029819001ex5-1.htm0001213900-26-079673
Document: ea029819001ex23-1.htm0001213900-26-079673
Document: 0001213900-26-079673-index-headers.html0001213900-26-079673
Document: 0001213900-26-079673-index.html0001213900-26-079673
Document: 0001213900-26-079673.txt0001213900-26-079673
14 reports for BGDE
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +34.72%Jul 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BGDE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$3.86awaiting T+5—$4.02 (+4.15%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
SC 13D/A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.32 $5.35▲ +0.56%▼ −1.38%$4.02 (−24.44%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.24 $5.28▲ +15.38%▲ +14.97%$4.02 (+35.58%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.06 $7.22▼ −19.14%▼ −21.11%$4.02 (+33.66%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$5.64awaiting T+5—$4.02 (−28.72%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.96 $5.27▲ +11.58%▲ +10.35%$4.02 (+32.55%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.70 $5.39▲ +5.44%▲ +5.01%$4.02 (+29.47%)
Jul 10, 2026
15w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.89 $5.71▼ −17.13%▼ −16.34%$4.02 (−41.65%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.15 $7.43▲ +8.83%▲ +9.32%$4.02 (+50.67%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 9/10
$7.45 $7.77▲ +4.30%▲ +3.36%$4.02 (−46.04%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 5m)

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Report published Jul 20, 2026