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Institutional Cluster

BFST

Business First Bancshares, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The institutional cluster is directionally bullish but dominated by passive/index rebalancing (State Street, JPMorgan) rather than high-conviction active managers, and the 45-day 13F lag means these positions reflect June 30 views — not current. Monitor upcoming Q3 earnings for confirmation of the NIM expansion and loan growth trajectory that likely drove the institutional buying.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BFST ▼ -2.66% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.66% · α vs SPY -0.92% · entry $32.28 → $31.42
Next anchor: T+60d in 9d
Latest observation: T+50 -5.45% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.50%
call -0.50% · α -0.30%
$32.12
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.28%
call -3.28% · α -1.32%
$31.22
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-2.66%
call -2.66% · α -0.92%
$31.42
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 9d

Executive Summary

Five institutional investors accumulated $22.1M in BFST during Q2 2026, led by State Street (+$14.2M) and JPMorgan (+$6.1M), while PNC Financial Services nearly fully exited a $341K position. The cluster follows Q2 earnings that showed flat GAAP EPS but core EPS growth and margin expansion, suggesting institutions are positioning for continued credit quality improvement and net interest margin stability in a regional bank sector that has seen consolidation interest. The buying is dominated by mega-passive and asset manager funds, with no activist or high-conviction hedge fund involvement, and the 13F disclosure lag means positions may have been adjusted since quarter-end.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$48.3M
Sell Value
$341.0K
Net Flow
$21.8M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $21.8M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
State StreetADD+58.1%$32.1M$14.2M
JPMorganADD+72.7%$12.4M$6.1M
CitigroupDOUBLED+497.8%$971.0K$828.0K
NuveenADD+30.8%$2.4M$784.0K
New York State Common Retirement FundADD+36.9%$387.0K$138.0K

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Pnc Financial Services GroupNEAR_EXIT-99.7%$341.0K-$340.1K

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional buyers added $22.1M in net new positions during Q2 2026
  • State Street increased its stake by 58.1% to $32.1M, the largest dollar addition
  • JPMorgan added 72.7% more shares, growing its position from $6.3M to $12.4M
  • Citigroup more than quintupled its position (+497.8%) from $143K to $971K
  • Only 1 seller — PNC Financial Services — exited a $341K position (99.7% reduction)
  • Q2 2026 earnings showed core EPS growth of 7.6% YoY and NIM expansion of 8 bps to 3.73%
  • Insider activity is divergent: 1 open-market buyer ($47K) vs 10 sells totaling $1.9M in the past 30 days

Financial Impact

5 institutions accumulated $22.1M in new BFST positions while 1 institution reduced holdings by $340K, for net institutional buying of approximately $21.8M

institutional_ownershipfloat_percentage

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale — positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Insider selling ($1.9M in 30 days) diverges from institutional buying, a potential warning sign
  • Q2 total deposits declined 3.07% linked-quarter, indicating funding cost pressure
  • Cluster dominated by passive funds (State Street, JPMorgan) — active manager conviction is limited

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
State Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BFST-2026-Q2
15 reports for BFST
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for BFST — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$31.61awaiting T+20——
Oct 26, 2026
today
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$31.61awaiting T+20——
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$30.90awaiting T+20——
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$32.28 $31.42▼ −2.66%▼ −0.92%—
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.54 $31.38▼ −0.51%▲ +0.41%—
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.54 $31.38▼ −0.51%▲ +0.41%—
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.66 $31.84▲ +0.57%▲ +0.97%—
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.71 $31.49▼ −0.69%▼ −1.29%—
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$31.92 $31.02▼ −2.82%▼ −4.06%—
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.82 $31.21▼ −1.92%▼ −4.90%—
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 17m)

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Report published Aug 12, 2026