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S-4/A ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

BFC

Bank First Corp
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-088816
Notable filing: S-4/A
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor PSB shareholder vote on September 2, 2026 and regulatory approvals from the Federal Reserve, OCC, and WDFI. The fixed exchange ratio means BFC's stock price movement directly affects the deal value for PSB shareholders. Watch for any material adverse changes or dissenters rights exceeding 5% of PSB shares, which could scuttle the deal.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BFC ▼ -2.62% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -2.62% · α vs SPY -5.07% · entry $152.74 → $148.74
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.67%
call +1.67% · α +0.25%
$155.29
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+0.45%
call +0.45% · α -3.07%
$153.42
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+0.05%
call +0.05% · α -2.94%
$152.81
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-2.62%
call -2.62% · α -5.07%
$148.74
settled 4d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Bank First Corp filed Amendment No. 1 to its S-4 registration statement for the acquisition of PSB Holdings, Inc. in a stock-for-stock merger. Each PSB common share will convert into 0.3470 shares of BFC common stock, valued at approximately $52.67 per PSB share as of July 29, 2026, representing an 80.6% premium over PSB's pre-announcement price. The merger is expected to close in Q4 2026, subject to regulatory approvals and PSB shareholder vote on September 2, 2026.

Key Facts

  • Exchange ratio: 0.3470 shares of BFC per PSB share
  • Implied value per PSB share: $49.85 at announcement (May 18, 2026), $52.67 as of July 29, 2026
  • PSB shareholders must approve by two-thirds vote; PSB preferred holders have already agreed to vote in favor
  • Pro forma combined assets of approximately $7.61 billion as of March 31, 2026
  • Estimated additional goodwill of $84.0 million and core deposit intangible of $29.0 million from the PSB acquisition
  • PSB may pay a $1.00 per share special dividend if closing is delayed beyond December 4, 2026
  • Termination fee of $8,117,163 payable by PSB under certain conditions
  • PSB special meeting scheduled for September 2, 2026

Financial Impact

Merger creates combined entity with $7.61B in assets, $330M in goodwill, and $74.5M in core deposit intangible. Pro forma basic EPS for Q1 2026 is $1.97 vs. BFC standalone $1.78 and PSB standalone $0.82.

assetsgoodwillcore deposit intangibleearnings per sharetangible book value

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain required regulatory approvals (Federal Reserve, OCC, WDFI)
  • PSB shareholder vote fails to achieve two-thirds approval
  • Material adverse change in either company's financial condition
  • Dissenters rights exercised on more than 5% of PSB common shares
  • BFC stock price decline triggering PSB's walk-away right (average price below $122.11 with >15% underperformance vs. Nasdaq Bank Index)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 11 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4/A Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-088816
Document: tm2620547d4_ex5-1.htm0001104659-26-088816
Document: tm2620547d4_ex8-1.htm0001104659-26-088816
Document: tm2620547d4_ex8-2.htm0001104659-26-088816
Document: tm2620547d4_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-088816
Document: tm2620547d4_ex99-2.htm0001104659-26-088816
Document: tm2620547d4_ex23-2.htm0001104659-26-088816
Document: tm2620547d4_ex23-1.htm0001104659-26-088816
Document: 0001104659-26-088816-index-headers.html0001104659-26-088816
Document: 0001104659-26-088816-index.html0001104659-26-088816
Document: 0001104659-26-088816.txt0001104659-26-088816
11 reports for BFC
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +10.45%May 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BFC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$142.04awaiting T+20—$148.96 (−4.87%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$150.83 $148.34▼ −1.65%▼ −1.09%$148.96 (−1.24%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$154.08 $150.83▼ −2.11%▼ −3.42%$148.96 (−3.32%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$156.08 $150.33▼ −3.68%▼ −2.45%$148.96 (−4.56%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$152.74 $152.81▲ +0.05%▼ −2.94%$148.96 (−2.47%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$145.82 $156.88▲ +7.58%▲ +3.46%$148.96 (+2.15%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$143.99 $146.67▲ +1.86%▼ −0.03%$148.96 (+3.45%)
May 19, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$143.05 $142.68▼ −0.26%▼ −1.00%$148.96 (+4.13%)
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$144.19 $142.37▼ −1.26%▼ −5.29%$148.96 (+3.31%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$141.83 $143.05▲ +0.86%▼ −3.77%$148.96 (+5.03%)
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published Jul 30, 2026