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Institutional Cluster

BFC

Bank First Corp
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The unanimous accumulation by both passive and active funds confirms a broad-based institutional re-rating; watch for follow-on disclosures from active value investors in Q4 2025. Given the $34.2M net inflow (roughly 2% of float in a single quarter) and a heavily passive-dominated buyer set, the stock could face selling pressure if macro rotation reverses regional-bank flows. No insider sales cluster against this filing, so the signal is clean.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BFC ▲ +8.50% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +8.50% · α vs SPY +4.10% · entry $143.99 → $156.23
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.81%
call +0.81% · α +0.27%
$145.16
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-1.81%
call -1.81% · α -2.24%
$141.39
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+1.86%
call +1.86% · α -0.03%
$146.67
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+8.50%
call +8.50% · α +4.10%
$156.23
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Five major institutional investors — four mega-passive asset managers (State Street, UBS, Morgan Stanley, BofA) and one quant fund (Two Sigma) — nearly all doubled or more than doubled their BFC positions in Q3 2025, a rare cluster of unanimous accumulation. Total net buying value reached $34.2M (to $68.9M held), a 99% increase quarter-over-quarter, suggesting a shared view that Bank First remains undervalued relative to its regional-bank peer group despite its outsized exposure to the lower-Growth Wisconsin/Michigan market.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$68.9M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$34.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $34.2M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
State StreetADD+71.1%$51.4M$22.2M
UBSADD+211.8%$4.0M$2.8M
Morgan StanleyADD+177.8%$6.7M$4.4M
Two SigmaADD+210%$3.0M$2.1M
BofAADD+272%$3.7M$2.8M

Key Facts

  • 5 institutions bought, 0 sold
  • Total net buying: +$34.2M (current holdings $68.9M)
  • 4 of 5 are mega-passive managers (State Street, UBS, Morgan Stanley, BofA)
  • Two Sigma (quant) doubled its stake (+210% shares)
  • Aggregate holdings rose from ~294K shares to ~566K shares (+93%)

Financial Impact

5 institutional buyers added $34.2M in new BFC positions during Q3 2025. With BFC's ~$1.6B market cap, the cluster represents ~2% of float accumulation in one quarter.

ownership concentrationinstitutional demandfloat absorption

Risk Factors

  • Cluster is dominated by passive/rebalancing funds, which reduces conviction signal relative to activist or event-driven buyers
  • 13F disclosure lag (45 days); positions may have been partially or fully unwound since quarter-end
  • BFC's outsized exposure to Wisconsin/Michigan agricultural and lower-Growth commercial real estate may dampen ROE recovery vs larger regional peers

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BFC-2025-Q3
11 reports for BFC
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for BFC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$142.04awaiting T+20——
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$150.83 $148.34▼ −1.65%▼ −1.09%—
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$154.08 $150.83▼ −2.11%▼ −3.42%—
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$156.08 $150.33▼ −3.68%▼ −2.45%—
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$152.74 $152.81▲ +0.05%▼ −2.94%—
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$145.82 $156.88▲ +7.58%▲ +3.46%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$143.99 $146.67▲ +1.86%▼ −0.03%—
May 19, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$143.05 $142.68▼ −0.26%▼ −1.00%—
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$144.19 $142.37▼ −1.26%▼ −5.29%—
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$141.83 $143.05▲ +0.86%▼ −3.77%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (9h 42m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026