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Institutional Cluster

BDTX

Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 8 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The institutional cluster is dominated by passive/index rebalancers (BlackRock, State Street, Geode) with no activist or high-conviction hedge fund participation and no insider buying. Monitor for FDA feedback on silevertinib's pivotal path expected in Q4 2026 as the next real catalyst.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BDTX ▼ -0.98% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -0.98% · α vs SPY +0.55% · entry $2.05 → $2.03
Next anchor: T+60d in 13d
Latest observation: T+49 +22.02% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.49%
call +0.49% · α +1.16%
$2.06
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+5.12%
call +5.12% · α +6.31%
$2.16
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-0.98%
call -0.98% · α +0.55%
$2.03
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 13d

Executive Summary

Eight institutional investors, led by BlackRock, State Street, and Geode, collectively doubled or added to their BDTX positions in Q2 2026, increasing aggregate holdings by $7.0M to $11.6M. This cluster follows the company's Q2 earnings release highlighting positive Phase 2 silevertinib data (60% ORR, 86% CNS ORR) and a cash runway into 2H 2028, but the signal is weakened by the dominance of mega-passive index funds and the absence of any insider open-market buying.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$11.6M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$7.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $7.0M

▲ Buyers (8)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
BlackRockDOUBLED+253.9%$7.2M$4.9M
State StreetDOUBLED+145.9%$971.0K$516.0K
GeodeDOUBLED+127%$2.3M$1.1M

Key Facts

  • 8 institutional buyers in Q2 2026, 0 sellers
  • Aggregate holdings increased by $7.0M to $11.6M
  • BlackRock doubled its position to $7.2M (largest holder)
  • All 8 buyers are mega-passive or asset managers — no activist or hedge fund names
  • No insider open-market buying in the same window (confluence score 33/100)
  • Cluster follows Q2 2026 earnings with positive Phase 2 silevertinib data and cash runway into 2H 2028

Financial Impact

8 institutions accumulated $7.0M in net new positions, bringing total disclosed holdings to $11.6M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive/index fund buying may reverse on next rebalance
  • No insider buying suggests management does not see current valuation as compelling
  • Historical pattern of poor stock performance following positive catalysts
  • Clinical-stage biotech binary risk — FDA feedback in Q4 2026 is uncertain

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
87% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BDTX-2026-Q2
7 reports for BDTX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+1▲ +6.35%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BDTX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.05 $2.06▲ +0.49%▲ +1.16%—
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.92 $1.95▲ +1.56%▲ +0.95%—
May 21, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.28 $2.33▲ +2.19%▲ +1.61%—
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$2.28 $2.33▲ +2.19%▲ +1.61%—
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.72 $2.99▲ +9.93%▲ +9.10%—
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.15 $3.35▲ +6.35%▲ +5.33%—
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$2.23 $2.17▼ −2.69%▼ −1.29%—
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 7h 58m

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Report published Aug 15, 2026