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EFFECT ·Filed Jun 1, 2026

BDSX

BIODESIX INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001816
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The shelf effectiveness is a routine procedural step — the warrant shares were already issued and the overhang was known. Monitor for any Form 4 filings from Perceptive indicating actual sales, which would create modest selling pressure. No immediate trading catalyst.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BDSX ▲ +83.86% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +83.86% · α vs SPY +82.63% · entry $15.27 → $28.08
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.11%
call +1.11% · α +0.97%
$15.44
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.24%
call +1.24% · α +3.99%
$15.46
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+47.68%
call +47.68% · α +48.97%
$22.55
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+83.86%
call +83.86% · α +82.63%
$28.08
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Biodesix's S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-296122) became effective on May 29, 2026, covering the resale of up to 375,000 shares of common stock issuable upon exercise of warrants held by Perceptive Credit Holdings. The shelf allows Perceptive to sell these shares at any time, creating a known overhang of ~1.4% of shares outstanding (based on ~27M shares outstanding). The cross-filing context confirms this is a shelf resale registration, not a primary offering, so the dilution risk is limited to the warrant shares already issued.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf became effective May 29, 2026, covering up to 375,000 shares for resale by Perceptive Credit Holdings
  • Shares are issuable upon exercise of warrants granted in connection with a November 2022 credit agreement (as amended multiple times)
  • This is a resale registration, not a primary offering — no new capital raised by Biodesix
  • The 375,000 shares represent approximately 1.4% of outstanding shares (estimated ~27M shares outstanding)
  • Effectiveness date is May 29, 2026; filing accepted June 1, 2026

Financial Impact

Up to 375,000 shares of common stock (approx. 1.4% dilution) available for resale by Perceptive Credit Holdings

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Perceptive could sell the 375,000 shares into the market, creating incremental selling pressure
  • If the stock price weakens, the warrant exercise may not occur, reducing the actual dilution

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Medical Laboratories
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001816
Document: 9999999995-26-001816-index.html9999999995-26-001816
Document: 9999999995-26-001816.txt9999999995-26-001816
10 reports for BDSX
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +42.80%May 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BDSX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$23.87awaiting T+20—$21.95 (−8.04%)
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.40awaiting T+20—$21.95 (−6.20%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$23.25 $27.70▲ +19.14%▲ +21.12%$21.95 (−5.59%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$24.00 $27.40▲ +14.17%▲ +16.16%$21.95 (−8.54%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$23.79 $26.97▲ +13.35%▲ +15.09%$21.95 (−7.73%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$22.10 $26.48▲ +19.80%▲ +19.20%$21.95 (−0.68%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$15.27 $22.55▲ +47.68%▲ +48.97%$21.95 (+43.75%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$14.94 $15.44▲ +3.35%▼ −1.61%$21.95 (+46.92%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$13.17 $14.25▲ +8.20%▲ +4.00%$21.95 (+66.67%)
Mar 20, 2026
31w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.88 $13.17▼ −11.46%▼ −20.78%$21.95 (+47.56%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Jun 1, 2026