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8-K ·Filed May 28, 2026

BCDA

BioCardia, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0001437749-26-018670
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

This is a significant regulatory catalyst for a $10M market cap biotech. The PMDA support de-risks the Japan approval pathway and provides a clear timeline to submission in Q4 2026. Monitor for any financing needs ahead of submission and post-market study costs.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BCDA ▲ +9.78% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +9.78% · α vs SPY +8.05% · entry $0.9200 → $1.01
Entry = T+0 close
May 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.09%
call +1.09% · α +0.85%
$0.9300
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-5.43%
call -5.43% · α -5.39%
$0.8700
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+30.43%
call +30.43% · α +33.58%
$1.20
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+9.78%
call +9.78% · α +8.05%
$1.01
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BioCardia announced that Japan's PMDA Consultation Record supports submission for regulatory approval of CardiAMP cell therapy for ischemic HFrEF, with submission anticipated in Q4 2026. The PMDA confirmed alignment on remaining questions and noted trial outcomes were credible, estimating 20,000 of 300,000 Japanese HFrEF patients would initially be eligible.

Key Facts

  • PMDA Consultation Record supports regulatory submission for CardiAMP cell therapy in ischemic HFrEF
  • Submission anticipated in Q4 2026, timeline of 7 months from May 28, 2026
  • PMDA noted positive trial outcomes were credible
  • Estimated 20,000 of 300,000 HFrEF patients in Japan initially eligible
  • CardiAMP Cell Therapy has FDA Breakthrough designation
  • Clinical data showed increased exercise tolerance by avg 179 seconds at 2 years, angina episodes reduced by avg 82% at 6 months
  • No treatment emergent major adverse cardiac events reported

Financial Impact

No financial figures provided; regulatory milestone with potential to unlock Japan market for CardiAMP therapy

Risk Factors

  • PMDA review process is rigorous and approval is not guaranteed
  • Company's liquidity position and ability to fund submission and post-market study
  • Japan market opportunity (20K patients) is modest relative to development costs

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-018670
Exhibit: ex_969199.htm0001437749-26-018670
Document: 0001437749-26-018670-index-headers.html0001437749-26-018670
Document: 0001437749-26-018670-index.html0001437749-26-018670
Document: 0001437749-26-018670.txt0001437749-26-018670
27 reports for BCDA
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+1 8 of 14 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 14 best @ T+60▲ +23.51%Apr 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BCDA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.8975 $1.04▲ +15.88%▲ +15.54%$0.9000 (+0.28%)
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.9000 $1.04▲ +15.56%▲ +15.22%$0.9000 (−0.00%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.09 $1.06▼ −2.75%▼ −2.33%$0.9000 (−17.43%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.02 $1.04▲ +1.96%▲ +1.22%$0.9000 (−11.76%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.02 $1.04▲ +1.96%▲ +1.22%$0.9000 (−11.76%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.05 $1.07▲ +1.90%▲ +1.99%$0.9000 (−14.29%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.05 $1.07▲ +1.90%▲ +1.99%$0.9000 (−14.29%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.10 $1.08▼ −1.82%▼ −2.67%$0.9000 (−18.18%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.06 $1.13▲ +6.60%▲ +6.28%$0.9000 (−15.09%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.9500 $0.9496▼ −0.04%▲ +0.12%$0.9000 (−5.26%)
Showing 10 of 27

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Report published May 28, 2026