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8-K ·Filed May 15, 2026

BCDA

BioCardia, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001437749-26-017222
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The regulatory catalysts (PMDA Shonin submission Q4 2026, FDA PMA pathway clarity) are significant positive milestones for a pre-revenue biotech, but the $951K cash balance creates existential near-term risk. Expect a dilutive equity offering within 2-3 months to fund operations through the Japan submission. The stock will likely trade on cash-runway headlines and regulatory updates rather than quarterly financials.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
BCDA ▼ -7.71% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -7.71% · α vs SPY -12.23% · entry $1.01 → $0.9321
Entry = T+0 close
May 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-10.89%
call -10.89% · α -10.83%
$0.9000
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.95%
call -4.95% · α -5.91%
$0.9600
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-17.82%
call -17.82% · α -19.94%
$0.8300
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-7.71%
call -7.71% · α -12.23%
$0.9321
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BioCardia reported Q1 2026 financial results with a net loss of $2.3M ($0.21 per share), narrower than the $2.7M loss ($0.59 per share) in Q1 2025, driven by lower R&D and SG&A expenses. The company ended the quarter with only $951K in cash, down from $2.5M at year-end 2025, highlighting a critical cash runway concern. The key positive was significant regulatory progress: PMDA determined clinical data likely sufficient for market clearance in Japan (Shonin submission expected Q4 2026), and FDA confirmed PMA pathway for CardiAMP cell therapy while supporting the ongoing confirmatory HF II trial.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.21
est −$0.17 · -23.5%
Revenue
$0.00
est $0.00
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Net loss of $2.3M in Q1 2026 vs $2.7M in Q1 2025, a $0.4M improvement
  • Cash and cash equivalents fell to $951K from $2.5M at Dec 31, 2025 — a 62% decline
  • PMDA determined clinical safety and efficacy evidence 'likely sufficient to support market clearance' for CardiAMP Cell Therapy in Japan
  • Japan PMDA Shonin submission for approval expected in Q4 2026
  • FDA confirmed PMA pathway for CardiAMP Cell Therapy and recommended continuing the CardiAMP HF II confirmatory trial
  • FDA agreed on two pathways for Helix delivery catheter marketing clearance, preferred route simultaneous with CardiAMP approval
  • No revenue reported in Q1 2026 (pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech)
  • Weighted-average shares outstanding increased to 10.8M from 4.6M a year ago, reflecting dilution

Financial Impact

Cash burn of ~$1.7M in operations during Q1 2026; cash runway at $951K likely insufficient beyond Q2 2026 without additional financing

cashnet lossdilution

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway of $951K likely insufficient beyond Q2 2026 — imminent need for dilutive financing
  • Stockholders' equity turned negative at -$1.07M, raising going-concern risk
  • CardiAMP HF II trial enrollment still early with only 4 active sites — regulatory approval timelines uncertain
  • Japan Shonin submission not expected until Q4 2026, with no guarantee of approval

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-017222
Document: bcda20260515_8k.htm0001437749-26-017222
Document: 0001437749-26-017222-index-headers.html0001437749-26-017222
Document: 0001437749-26-017222-index.html0001437749-26-017222
Document: 0001437749-26-017222.txt0001437749-26-017222
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-017222
27 reports for BCDA
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+1 9 of 15 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 15 best @ T+20▲ +30.43%May 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BCDA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.8975 $1.04▲ +15.88%▲ +15.54%$0.9000 (+0.28%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.9000 $1.04▲ +15.56%▲ +15.22%$0.9000 (−0.00%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.09 $1.06▼ −2.75%▼ −2.33%$0.9000 (−17.43%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.02 $1.04▲ +1.96%▲ +1.22%$0.9000 (−11.76%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.02 $1.04▲ +1.96%▲ +1.22%$0.9000 (−11.76%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.05 $1.07▲ +1.90%▲ +1.99%$0.9000 (−14.29%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.05 $1.07▲ +1.90%▲ +1.99%$0.9000 (−14.29%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.10 $1.08▼ −1.82%▼ −2.67%$0.9000 (−18.18%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.06 $1.13▲ +6.60%▲ +6.28%$0.9000 (−15.09%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.9500 $0.9496▼ −0.04%▲ +0.12%$0.9000 (−5.26%)
Showing 10 of 27

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Report published May 15, 2026