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Institutional Cluster

BBAR

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The unanimous buying by 5 institutions, including quant funds (Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Point72) and mega-passive (UBS, Morgan Stanley), signals a coordinated bet on BBAR's recovery thesis. With 91% analyst bullish consensus and a $3.6B market cap, watch for Q4 earnings and Argentine macro data to validate the thesis. The 45-day 13F lag means positions may have been adjusted since quarter-end.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BBAR ▼ -26.60% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -26.60% · α vs SPY -30.99% · entry $20.19 → $14.82
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.13%
call +2.13% · α +1.59%
$20.62
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+4.21%
call +4.21% · α +3.78%
$21.04
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-3.91%
call -3.91% · α -5.80%
$19.40
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-26.60%
call -26.60% · α -30.99%
$14.82
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Five major institutional investors increased their positions in Banco BBVA Argentina (BBAR) during Q3 2025, with Citadel, UBS, and Point72 more than doubling or significantly adding to their stakes. The cluster is dominated by quantitative and mega-passive funds, suggesting a shared thesis around the Argentine banking recovery or sector re-rating, though the aggregate net dollar change is slightly negative (-$2.4M) due to price declines during the quarter.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$24.5M
Net Flow
-$2.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$2.4M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
D.E. ShawADD+53.1%$3.1M-$919.8K
CitadelDOUBLED+328.6%$4.1M$2.2M
UBSDOUBLED+789.4%$1.9M$1.5M
Morgan StanleyADD+44.4%$13.2M-$4.9M
Point72ADD+75.6%$2.2M-$273.7K

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional buyers, 0 sellers in Q3 2025 cluster
  • Citadel doubled its position (+328.6% shares, now $4.1M)
  • UBS nearly 8x'd its stake (+789.4% shares, now $1.9M)
  • Morgan Stanley added 44.4% shares (now $13.2M, largest holder in cluster)
  • D.E. Shaw and Point72 also added, though their dollar values declined due to price
  • Aggregate current holdings: $24.5M; net dollar change: -$2.4M (price-driven, not conviction)

Financial Impact

5 institutions accumulated positions worth $24.5M in aggregate, with net dollar outflow of -$2.4M due to share price depreciation during Q3. No sellers in the cluster.

institutional ownershipfloat concentration

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound
  • Argentine economic/political risk remains high
  • Net dollar change negative (-$2.4M) despite share increases, indicating price weakness
  • Cluster dominated by quant and passive funds, not high-conviction activists

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Commercial Banks, NEC
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BBAR-2025-Q3
12 reports for BBAR
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +39.43%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BBAR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.69 $12.65▼ −0.32%▼ −0.91%—
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$12.38 $13.27▲ +7.19%▲ +6.51%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$17.27 $16.46▲ +4.69%▲ +4.37%—
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.11 $17.27▲ +0.94%▲ +0.96%—
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.99 $20.39▼ −2.86%▼ −1.41%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$20.19 $20.62▲ +2.13%▲ +1.59%—
May 26, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$17.50 $17.62▲ +0.69%▲ +0.14%—
May 15, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.76 $13.97▼ −5.35%▼ −4.70%—
May 14, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$14.81 $14.26▲ +3.71%▲ +2.49%—
Apr 28, 2026
26w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.22 $14.26▲ +0.28%▼ −0.74%—
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (16h 21m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026