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Institutional Cluster

BBAI

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 9 buyers, 5 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster is directionally mixed: the buying is broad but dominated by smaller asset managers, while the largest single action is a near-exit by a significant holder. Monitor for a catalyst (e.g., earnings or contract win) to confirm the buying thesis before acting.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BBAI ▼ -13.50% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -13.50% · α vs SPY -11.60% · entry $3.26 → $2.82
Next anchor: T+60d in 9d
Latest observation: T+51 +2.88% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.45%
call +2.45% · α +1.76%
$3.34
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-2.76%
call -2.76% · α -2.32%
$3.17
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-13.50%
call -13.50% · α -11.60%
$2.82
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 9d

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in BBAI for 2026-Q2 shows 9 buyers adding $9.0M in net new positions (led by National Bank of Canada doubling to $7.9M and IMC-Chicago doubling to $4.3M) against 5 sellers trimming $1.9M (led by Mercer Global Advisors' near-exit of $1.8M). The buying is dominated by active asset managers, but the largest single move is a near-complete exit by a significant holder, creating a divergent signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$16.1M
Sell Value
$2.1M
Net Flow
$7.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $7.1M

▲ Buyers (9)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
National Bank Of CanadaDOUBLED+110.6%$7.9M$4.3M
Imc-ChicagoDOUBLED+160.5%$4.3M$2.7M
CitigroupADD+99.3%$2.1M$1.1M
Russell Investments GroupDOUBLED+168.7%$995.0K$640.0K
Wealthfront AdvisersADD+31%$387.0K$104.0K

▼ Sellers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Mercer Global Advisors Inc /AdvNEAR_EXIT-98.4%$1.8M-$1.8M
Hightower AdvisorsTRIM-36.1%$102.0K-$33.9K
Vontobel HoldingTRIM-33.5%$83.0K-$25.5K
Kestra Advisory ServicesTRIM-32.6%$65.0K-$19.3K
Pnc Financial Services GroupTRIM-37.3%$11.0K-$3.9K

Key Facts

  • 9 institutional buyers added $9.0M in net new positions during 2026-Q2, while 5 sellers reduced holdings by $1.9M
  • National Bank of Canada was the largest buyer, doubling its stake to $7.9M (2.15M shares)
  • IMC-Chicago doubled its position to $4.3M (1.18M shares), the second-largest buyer
  • Mercer Global Advisors executed a near-exit, selling 98.4% of its stake ($1.8M → $31K)
  • All buyers and sellers are categorized as asset managers; no activist or hedge fund names are present
  • No open-market insider buying was detected, and the 13F × Form 4 confluence score is low (18/100, divergent)

Financial Impact

9 institutional buyers accumulated $9.0M in new positions while 5 sellers reduced holdings by $1.9M, for a net institutional inflow of approximately $7.1M

institutional ownership

Risk Factors

  • Mercer Global Advisors' near-exit suggests a potential loss of confidence by a significant institutional holder
  • No insider buying to corroborate the institutional accumulation
  • 13F data is 45+ days old; positions may have already been unwound

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BBAI-2026-Q2
8 reports for BBAI
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for BBAI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.37awaiting T+20——
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$3.26 $2.82▼ −13.50%▼ −11.60%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.14 $3.32▼ −19.81%▼ −21.70%—
May 8, 2026
24w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
—awaiting T+20——
May 5, 2026
25w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
—awaiting T+20——
Apr 10, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
—awaiting T+20——
Mar 20, 2026
31w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.68 $3.79▲ +2.99%▼ −4.43%—
Mar 19, 2026
31w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.58 $3.84▲ +7.26%▼ −2.06%—
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Aug 12, 2026