SecBot SecBot
6-K ·Filed Mar 27, 2026

BAK

BRASKEM SA
BEARISH
Impact 9/10
Horizonmonths Processed7mo ago SEC0001292814-26-001833
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should monitor Braskem's capital structure optimization efforts and potential debt restructuring, as the company faces severe financial stress with junk-rated debt and subsidiary defaults. The stock may remain under pressure until there's clear evidence of spread recovery or successful deleveraging.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
BAK ▼ -15.77% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +15.77% · α vs SPY +31.83% · entry $3.52 → $2.97
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 27, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.42%
call +1.42% · α +1.06%
$3.47
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-5.97%
call +5.97% · α +9.83%
$3.31
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-3.98%
call +3.98% · α +16.72%
$3.38
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-15.77%
call +15.77% · α +31.83%
$2.97
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Braskem reported a severe financial downturn in 2025, with Recurring EBITDA plunging 49% year-over-year to $557 million due to weak petrochemical spreads and lower sales volumes. The company's leverage ratio soared to 14.74x, credit ratings were downgraded to default levels (S&P CCC-, Fitch CC), and its Mexican subsidiary Braskem Idesa defaulted on bond interest payments. Despite these challenges, Braskem secured $1 billion in liquidity and advanced strategic initiatives like the TQPM ethane terminal and renewable projects.

Key Facts

  • Recurring EBITDA dropped 49% YoY to $557 million in 2025
  • Leverage ratio increased to 14.74x from 7.42x in 2024
  • S&P and Fitch downgraded Braskem to CCC- and CC ratings respectively
  • Braskem Idesa defaulted on interest payments for 2029 and 2032 bonds
  • Company drew down $1 billion standby facility to strengthen liquidity
  • Completed TQPM ethane import terminal in Mexico to reduce supply dependency

Financial Impact

Recurring EBITDA fell from $1.1 billion to $557 million, net loss narrowed from $2.1 billion to $1.6 billion due to tax asset write-offs, and cash consumption increased to R$7.3 billion

ebitdaleveragecreditRatingcashFlownetIncome

Risk Factors

  • Braskem Idesa's default could trigger cross-defaults affecting the parent company
  • Petrochemical spreads may remain depressed due to global oversupply
  • Geological event in Alagoas could lead to additional unprovisioned liabilities

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Industrial Organic Chemicals

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-001833
Document: 0001292814-26-001833-index-headers.html0001292814-26-001833
Document: 0001292814-26-001833-index.html0001292814-26-001833
Document: 0001292814-26-001833.txt0001292814-26-001833
53 reports for BAK
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 15 of 19 best @ T+60▲ +55.04%May 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BAK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.12awaiting T+60—$1.10 (+1.79%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.60awaiting T+60—$1.10 (−31.25%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.60awaiting T+60—$1.10 (+31.25%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.78awaiting T+60—$1.10 (−38.20%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.78awaiting T+60—$1.10 (−38.20%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.49awaiting T+60—$1.10 (+26.17%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.54awaiting T+60—$1.10 (+28.57%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.68awaiting T+60—$1.10 (+34.52%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.64awaiting T+60—$1.10 (+32.93%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.48awaiting T+60—$1.10 (+25.68%)
Showing 10 of 53

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Report published Mar 27, 2026