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GOVT-CONTRACT ·Filed Oct 16, 2026

BA

BOEING CO
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonmonths Processed11d 18h ago
Large government contract award ($500M+)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The award is a routine, sole-source IDIQ for ongoing MQ-25A development. With no immediate funding obligated, the revenue impact is negligible relative to Boeing's scale. Monitor future task order obligations for incremental revenue visibility.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
BA ▼ -1.62% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -1.62% · α vs SPY -1.48% · entry $191.42 → $188.31
Next anchor: T+20d in 20d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.50%
call -0.50% · α -0.83%
$190.47
settled 7d ago
T+5d
-1.62%
call -1.62% · α -1.48%
$188.31
settled yesterday
T+20d
Pending
in 20d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The Boeing Co. received an $80 million IDIQ contract from the U.S. Navy for continued development and sustainment of the MQ-25A Stingray unmanned aircraft system. The award is a sole-source, cost-plus-fixed-fee contract with work through October 2031, but no funds are obligated at award.

Key Financial Metrics

Award Amount
$80.0M
Agency
Department of Defense (Navy)
Contract Type
idiq
Rev Impact
+0.1%

Key Facts

  • Contract ceiling value: $80 million
  • Awarding agency: Department of Defense (Navy)
  • Contract type: cost-plus-fixed-fee, cost-no-fee, indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity
  • Work scope: system improvements, configuration development, integration, production readiness, and sustainment for MQ-25A Stingray
  • Performance period: through October 2031
  • No funds obligated at time of award; funds obligated on individual orders
  • Contract was not competitively procured (sole-source)
  • Company annualized revenue: $98.24 billion

Financial Impact

Award ceiling of $80 million represents approximately 0.08% of Boeing's annualized revenue of $98.24 billion.

revenue

Risk Factors

  • No funds obligated at award; actual revenue depends on future task orders
  • Cost-plus contract structure limits margin upside
  • Program execution risk on unmanned aircraft system development

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 federal contract record from official U.S. government contract data.

DocumentAccession Number
GOVT-CONTRACT Data (Synthetic)contract-N0001927D1006
33 reports for BA
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+5 6 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +10.47%Mar 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$189.45awaiting T+5—$170.69 (+9.90%)
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$191.42 $188.31▼ −1.62%▼ −1.48%$170.69 (−10.83%)
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$191.42 $188.31▼ −1.62%▼ −1.48%$170.69 (−10.83%)
Oct 9, 2026
18d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$190.37 $188.73▼ −0.86%▲ +0.01%$170.69 (−10.34%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$186.05 $188.32▲ +1.22%▼ −0.69%$170.69 (−8.26%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$187.68 $189.82▲ +1.14%▼ −0.81%$170.69 (−9.05%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$210.27 $201.15▼ −4.34%▼ −6.00%$170.69 (−18.82%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$210.46 $207.78▼ −1.27%▼ −1.74%$170.69 (−18.90%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$231.67 $214.20▼ −7.54%▼ −6.17%$170.69 (−26.32%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$231.67 $214.20▼ −7.54%▼ −6.17%$170.69 (−26.32%)
Showing 10 of 33

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Report published Oct 16, 2026