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EFFECT ·Filed Jun 4, 2026

AVEX

AEVEX Corp.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001875
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The IPO is now live and likely to price within 1-2 trading days. Traders should watch for the final IPO pricing and first-day trading debut. The strong revenue growth trajectory (Q1 2026 preliminary revenue ~$200-208M vs $53.3M in Q1 2025) suggests high demand, but the Up-C structure and Tax Receivable Agreement create future cash obligations. Monitor for any pricing updates and lock-up expiration timelines.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AVEX ▼ -27.87% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -27.87% · α vs SPY -29.76% · entry $24.61 → $17.75
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-7.07%
call -7.07% · α -4.47%
$22.87
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-12.80%
call -12.80% · α -10.25%
$21.46
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-15.93%
call -15.93% · α -14.56%
$20.69
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-27.87%
call -27.87% · α -29.76%
$17.75
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AEVEX Corp.'s S-1 registration statement (File No. 333-296396) was declared effective by the SEC on June 3, 2026, clearing the way for the company's initial public offering. The IPO is expected to price imminently, with prior filings indicating an offering of 16 million shares of Class A common stock at an estimated $18.00-$21.00 per share, raising approximately $278.3 million in net proceeds. The company is a defense technology contractor specializing in unmanned systems and mission solutions.

Key Facts

  • SEC declared S-1 registration effective on June 3, 2026
  • IPO of 16 million shares of Class A common stock at estimated $18.00-$21.00 per share
  • Estimated net proceeds of approximately $278.3 million
  • Company is a defense technology contractor in unmanned systems and mission solutions
  • Preliminary Q1 2026 revenue estimated at $200-208 million, up from $53.3 million in Q1 2025
  • Up-C transaction structure with Tax Receivable Agreement

Financial Impact

IPO expected to raise approximately $278.3 million in net proceeds at an estimated price range of $18.00-$21.00 per share

revenuedilutioncash

Risk Factors

  • IPO pricing below the estimated range could signal weaker demand
  • Tax Receivable Agreement creates substantial future payment obligations
  • Post-IPO dilution from 16 million new shares
  • Defense contractor revenue concentration and government contract risks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Aircraft

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001875
Document: 9999999995-26-001875-index.html9999999995-26-001875
Document: 9999999995-26-001875.txt9999999995-26-001875
17 reports for AVEX
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+5▲ +51.50%May 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AVEX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$20.89 $21.54▲ +3.11%▲ +3.31%$10.68 (−48.88%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$23.01 $22.20▼ −3.52%▼ −3.23%$10.68 (−53.59%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
EFFECT
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.61 $22.87▼ −7.07%▼ −4.47%$10.68 (−56.60%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
S-1
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$32.44 $27.66▼ −14.73%▼ −14.01%$10.68 (−67.08%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.72 $26.82▲ +0.37%▼ −0.07%$10.68 (−60.03%)
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$33.95 $29.90▼ −11.93%▼ −11.44%$10.68 (−68.54%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$35.99 $30.17▼ −16.17%▼ −17.19%$10.68 (−70.33%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $35.99▲ +7.72%▲ +8.38%$10.68 (−68.03%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $35.99▲ +7.72%▲ +8.38%$10.68 (−68.03%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $35.99▲ +7.72%▲ +8.38%$10.68 (−68.03%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 3h 15m

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Report published Jun 4, 2026