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424B5 ·Filed May 4, 2026

AURA

Aura Biosciences, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001193125-26-202458
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor final pricing and size of the offering upon effectiveness; the stock will likely face downward pressure from dilution. Watch for execution of the stock repurchase, which could partially offset dilution but is contingent on offering proceeds exceeding $200M. The CEO transition adds management uncertainty, though the CoMpass trial update is neutral to slightly positive for the pipeline timeline.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AURA ▼ -16.05% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +16.05% · α vs SPY +17.90% · entry $8.35 → $7.01
Entry = T+0 close
May 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.59%
call -6.59% · α -5.79%
$8.90
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-1.92%
call +1.92% · α +4.85%
$8.19
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-13.89%
call +13.89% · α +19.54%
$7.19
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-16.05%
call +16.05% · α +17.90%
$7.01
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aura Biosciences filed a preliminary prospectus supplement for an underwritten public offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants. The offering size is unspecified but will cause immediate and substantial dilution; proceeds will fund clinical programs and potentially repurchase up to 6,922,870 shares from Matrix Capital if net proceeds exceed $200M. The filing also discloses a CEO transition and that the Phase 3 CoMpass trial is nearing enrollment completion (86 patients as of May 4, 2026).

Key Facts

  • Offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants; all terms (size, price) are placeholders pending final pricing.
  • Last reported sale price on May 1, 2026 was $7.01 per share; market cap ~$450M.
  • Historical net tangible book value of $121.1M ($1.90/share) as of Dec 31, 2025; offering will cause immediate dilution.
  • Preliminary cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of ~$114.7M as of March 31, 2026.
  • Planned stock repurchase of up to 6,922,870 shares (10.8% of outstanding) from Matrix Capital, contingent on net proceeds exceeding $200M.
  • CEO transition: Natalie Holles appointed effective April 30, 2026, succeeding founder Elisabet de los Pinos.
  • Phase 3 CoMpass trial for bel-sar (early choroidal melanoma) nearing enrollment completion; topline data expected H2 2027.

Financial Impact

Significant dilution from offering; potential repurchase of ~10.8% of outstanding shares if net proceeds >$200M; no revenue or earnings disclosed.

dilutioncash_position

Risk Factors

  • Immediate and substantial dilution to existing shareholders.
  • Stock repurchase may not occur if net proceeds are ≤$200M, leading to higher share count.
  • Clinical-stage biotech with no approved products; reliance on bel-sar Phase 3 data.
  • CEO transition introduces execution risk.
  • No established public market for pre-funded warrants.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-202458
Document: 0001193125-26-202458-index-headers.html0001193125-26-202458
Document: 0001193125-26-202458-index.html0001193125-26-202458
Document: 0001193125-26-202458.txt0001193125-26-202458
16 reports for AURA
Performance horizon
88% Hit rate @ T+20 7 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 8 best @ T+20▲ +18.46%Aug 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AURA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.45 $6.56▲ +1.71%▲ +2.27%$6.26 (−2.95%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$7.80 $6.36▲ +18.46%▲ +17.94%$6.26 (+19.74%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.04 $7.20▲ +10.45%▲ +9.39%$6.26 (+22.14%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.04 $7.20▲ +10.45%▲ +9.39%$6.26 (+22.14%)
Jul 8, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.25 $7.18▼ −0.97%▼ −4.24%$6.26 (−13.66%)
May 19, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.47 $6.34▼ −15.13%▼ −15.87%$6.26 (−16.20%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.29 $6.88▲ +17.01%▲ +19.79%$6.26 (+24.49%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.29 $6.88▲ +17.01%▲ +19.79%$6.26 (+24.49%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$8.90 $6.90▼ −22.47%▼ −27.43%$6.26 (−29.66%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.35 $7.19▲ +13.89%▲ +19.54%$6.26 (+25.03%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

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Report published May 4, 2026