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6-K ·Filed May 12, 2026

ASTLW

Algoma Steel Group Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0001193125-26-220324
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The company is in a severe transitional downturn with massive operational losses and tariff headwinds. Monitor sequential improvement in EAF ramp-up and capacity utilization charge reduction as guided for Q4 elimination. The $553M liquidity provides a near-term cushion but continued losses could pressure covenants. Watch for resolution of US Section 232 tariffs and potential defence contract wins (Roshel, Hanwha) as inflection catalysts.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
ASTLW ▲ 0.00% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost 0.00% · α vs SPY -0.61% · entry $0.1001 → $0.1001
Next anchor: T+60d due 3mo ago
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.78%
$0.1001
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -1.16%
$0.1001
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.61%
$0.1001
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
Pending
due 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Algoma Steel reported a severe Q1 2026 with revenue plunging 42.6% to $296.9M and net loss widening to $159.4M, driven by the permanent closure of blast furnace operations, a $90.2M capacity utilization charge, and $27.4M in US tariff costs. The company completed its transition to EAF steelmaking but is currently posting Adjusted EBITDA losses of $28.7M and burning cash, with liquidity supported by $126M in new government loan draws under the LETL facilities.

Key Facts

  • Revenue declined 42.6% YoY to $296.9M from $517.1M
  • Net loss of $159.4M vs net loss of $24.5M in prior-year quarter
  • Loss from operations of $153.5M vs $139.9M loss YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of $28.7M inclusive of $90.2M capacity utilization charge
  • Direct tariff costs of $27.4M vs $10.5M in Q1 2025
  • Steel shipments down 52.4% to 223,681 tons
  • Cash used in operating activities of $12.2M vs generation of $92.1M in prior-year quarter
  • Total available liquidity ~$553M including $195.1M revolver availability and $292.5M undrawn LETL facilities
  • Permanently ceased blast furnace production on January 18, 2026; EAF Unit 1 fully operational
  • Deficit increased to $1,057.3M from $897.9M at year-end 2025

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 net loss of $159.4M, operating cash burn of $12.2M, and tariff costs of $27.4M

revenuenet lossoperating losscash flow from operationsadjusted EBITDAsteel shipments

Risk Factors

  • Sustained 50% US tariff on Canadian steel exports continues to pressure margins and volumes
  • Capacity utilization charge may not decline as fast as guided if EAF ramp faces delays
  • Further deterioration in liquidity if operating cash burn persists; government loan terms may tighten
  • Legal proceedings from frustrated supply agreements could result in material adverse judgments
  • High debt load ($485M senior secured notes and $271M governmental loans) with limited near-term free cash flow

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-220324
Document: d144507dex992.htm0001193125-26-220324
Document: d144507dex991.htm0001193125-26-220324
Document: d144507d6k.htm0001193125-26-220324
Document: 0001193125-26-220324-index-headers.html0001193125-26-220324
Document: 0001193125-26-220324-index.html0001193125-26-220324
Document: 0001193125-26-220324.txt0001193125-26-220324
4 reports for ASTLW
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTLW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
May 22, 2026
22w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1001 $0.0498▲ +50.25%▲ +51.93%—
May 12, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1001 $0.1001· 0.00%▼ −1.16%—
Apr 10, 2026
28w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.1001 $0.1001· 0.00%▼ −3.30%—
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.1001 $0.1001· 0.00%▼ −3.52%—
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 58m

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Report published May 13, 2026