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Institutional Cluster

ARKW

ARK ETF TR
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 8 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The heavy, concentrated selling by Morgan Stanley and near-exit by BNP Paribas signals institutional loss of conviction in ARKW. Monitor for further 13F disclosures next quarter to see if selling broadens. The lack of insider buying and small-scale buyer activity suggest no near-term catalyst to reverse the trend.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ARKW ▲ +16.08% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -16.08% · α vs SPY -11.24% · entry $142.79 → $165.75
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.60%
call -2.60% · α -1.76%
$146.50
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-4.24%
call +4.24% · α +3.81%
$136.74
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+6.54%
call -6.54% · α -2.42%
$152.13
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+16.08%
call -16.08% · α -11.24%
$165.75
settled 14d ago

Executive Summary

Institutional activity in ARKW (ARK ETF TR) during Q1 2026 was mixed: 5 small buyers added $775K in net new positions, while 8 sellers reduced holdings by $66.4M, led by Morgan Stanley's $61.6M trim. The selling is heavily concentrated and large in dollar terms, suggesting institutional de-risking or rotation out of the ETF, while buying is fragmented and small-scale. No insider buying corroborates the cluster, weakening the buy-side signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$5.8M
Sell Value
$66.4M
Net Flow
-$65.6M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$65.6M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Jane Street GroupADD+73.2%$2.0M$575.0K
MarinerADD+25.9%$3.2M$89.0K
Creative PlanningADD+38.4%$452.0K$52.0K

▼ Sellers (8)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyTRIM-43%$115.2M-$61.6M
Bnp Paribas Financial MarketsNEAR_EXIT-98.4%$3.1M-$3.0M
JPMorganTRIM-71%$798.0K-$618.9K
RenTechTRIM-41.8%$1.3M-$705.1K

Key Facts

  • 8 institutional sellers reduced ARKW holdings by a net $66.4M in Q1 2026
  • Morgan Stanley alone trimmed $61.6M, accounting for 93% of total selling
  • 5 buyers added only $775K in net new positions, a 1.2% offset to selling
  • No open-market insider buying detected in the window (confluence score 30/100, institutions only)
  • BlackRock added 83.6% shares but from a tiny base ($34K to $51K), negligible impact

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of $65.6M (buyers added $775K, sellers removed $66.4M) in Q1 2026, dominated by Morgan Stanley's $61.6M trim

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been adjusted since quarter-end
  • Selling could reflect broader ETF-level rebalancing rather than thesis-specific concerns
  • Small buyer base means limited support if selling pressure continues

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ARKW-2026-Q1

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 2h 26m

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Report published Jul 18, 2026