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8-K ·Filed May 11, 2026

AREN

Arena Group Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-033431
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 36% revenue decline and swing to a net loss represent a material deterioration in fundamentals. With no guidance and a debt refinancing underway, the stock faces significant downside risk. Monitor for updates on the new debt facility and any signs of audience stabilization in Q2.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AREN ▼ -15.05% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +15.05% · α vs SPY +19.44% · entry $1.86 → $1.58
Entry = T+0 close
May 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.54%
$1.86
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-18.82%
call +18.82% · α +18.89%
$1.51
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-27.96%
call +27.96% · α +26.23%
$1.34
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-15.05%
call +15.05% · α +19.44%
$1.58
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arena Group reported a sharp decline in Q1 2026 results: revenue fell 36% YoY to $20.4M, swinging from a $4.0M net profit to a $2.7M net loss. Adjusted EBITDA collapsed 82% to $1.7M. The company attributed the decline to strategic technical testing and changes in referral traffic patterns. No guidance was provided, and the company is pursuing debt refinancing.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.06
Revenue
$20.4M
-35.9% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
34.8%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue was $20.4M, down 35.9% from $31.8M in Q1 2025
  • Net loss of $2.7M vs net income of $4.0M in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA fell 82.5% to $1.7M from $9.7M in Q1 2025
  • Gross margin contracted to 34.8% from 49.4% in Q1 2025
  • Cash increased slightly to $11.2M from $10.3M at year-end 2025
  • Company engaged a commercial bank to replace existing debt facility ($97.6M term debt)
  • No forward guidance provided in the release

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $11.4M YoY; net income swing of -$6.7M; Adjusted EBITDA decline of $8.0M

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAgross margin

Risk Factors

  • Continued revenue decline if technical testing fails to improve yields
  • Inability to refinance $97.6M term debt on favorable terms
  • Further margin compression from elevated severance and professional fees
  • Stockholders' deficiency of $7.4M indicates balance sheet stress

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Cable & Other Pay Television Services
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Media & Telecom

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-033431
Document: aren-20260511.htm0001628280-26-033431
Document: 0001628280-26-033431-index-headers.html0001628280-26-033431
Document: 0001628280-26-033431-index.html0001628280-26-033431
Document: 0001628280-26-033431.txt0001628280-26-033431
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-033431
4 reports for AREN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +36.88%Aug 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AREN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.01 $0.9522▲ +5.72%▲ +4.53%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.60 $1.01▲ +36.88%▲ +36.47%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.60 $1.01▲ +36.88%▲ +36.47%—
May 11, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.86 $1.51▲ +18.82%▲ +18.89%—
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 45m

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Report published May 11, 2026