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S-3 ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

ARAY

ACCURAY INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago SEC0000950103-26-011529
Shelf registration — potential dilution
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The Penny Warrants are deeply in-the-money and exercisable immediately—expect near-term selling pressure as holders monetize. Monitor for 424B filings indicating actual sales. The stock is at $0.29; any volume from these resales could push it lower. The company's financial position is fragile (DDTL draw, market cap $27M), and the massive warrant overhang constrains any upside.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ARAY ▼ -54.08% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +54.08% · α vs SPY +56.54% · entry $0.2681 → $0.1231
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 31, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.63%
call -0.63% · α +0.79%
$0.2698
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+6.30%
call -6.30% · α -2.79%
$0.2850
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+2.16%
call -2.16% · α +0.82%
$0.2739
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-54.08%
call +54.08% · α +56.54%
$0.1231
settled 21h ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Accuray filed an S-3 registration statement covering 6,834,308 shares of common stock for resale by existing lenders/warrant holders. The shares are issuable upon exercise of warrants tied to a $18.25M delayed draw term loan drawn in May 2026. The company will not receive proceeds from the resale, but the filing highlights massive impending dilution—Penny Warrants exercisable at $0.01 per share are deeply in-the-money against a $0.29 stock price, creating immediate selling overhang.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$1.7M
Dilution
5.74%

Key Facts

  • 6,834,308 shares registered for resale by selling stockholders, consisting of 2,990,010 Super Premium Warrants ($1.50 exercise), 2,135,721 Premium Warrants ($1.25), and 1,708,577 Penny Warrants ($0.01)
  • Penny Warrants are exercisable immediately (since May 18, 2026) at $0.01 per share vs. $0.29 last sale price—deeply in-the-money
  • Total outstanding warrants across all tranches exceed 37 million shares (31.3% of current shares outstanding), creating massive potential dilution
  • Company has $27M market cap and drew $18.25M DDTL in May 2026; 10-Q likely shows financial strain
  • Selling stockholders collectively own 31.32% of shares before the offering; after selling all registered shares they would still hold 25.58%

Financial Impact

Penny Warrants (1.7M shares) alone represent ~5.7% dilution at current prices; total warrant overhang of 37M shares is ~31% of outstanding shares. The filing itself does not raise capital but enables immediate monetization by lenders.

dilutionshare countequity value

Risk Factors

  • Immediate selling pressure from Penny Warrant exercises (1.7M shares at $0.01 exercise, sold at market)
  • Additional warrant overhang (37M shares) may limit any rally
  • Company requires further capital; ability to raise equity is severely constrained by low stock price
  • Potential going-concern risk if cash runway is insufficient

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3 Filing (Primary)0000950103-26-011529
Document: dp250755_exfilingfees.htm0000950103-26-011529
Document: dp250755_ex0501.htm0000950103-26-011529
Document: dp250755_ex2301.htm0000950103-26-011529
Document: 0000950103-26-011529-index-headers.html0000950103-26-011529
Document: 0000950103-26-011529-index.html0000950103-26-011529
Document: 0000950103-26-011529.txt0000950103-26-011529
16 reports for ARAY
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +30.90%Oct 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARAY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.1340awaiting T+5—$0.1200 (−10.45%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1400 $0.1250▲ +10.71%▲ +10.57%$0.1200 (+14.29%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1751 $0.1370▼ −21.76%▼ −22.21%$0.1200 (−31.47%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.2414 $0.1738▼ −28.00%▼ −27.73%$0.1200 (−50.29%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2534 $0.1751▲ +30.90%▲ +29.92%$0.1200 (+52.64%)
Sep 27, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2998 $0.3017▲ +0.63%▼ −0.57%$0.1200 (−59.97%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$0.2300 $0.3000▲ +30.43%▲ +31.62%$0.1200 (−47.83%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2453 $0.2400▲ +2.16%▲ +2.27%$0.1200 (+51.08%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2502 $0.2336▼ −6.63%▼ −6.41%$0.1200 (−52.04%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2924 $0.2621▲ +10.36%▲ +11.48%$0.1200 (+58.96%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

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Report published Jul 31, 2026