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EFFECT ·Filed Sep 14, 2026

ARAY

ACCURAY INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002949
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effective shelf opens the door for immediate warrant conversions and resales, likely adding persistent downward pressure. Monitor for a Form 424B5 prospectus supplement or insider selling filings (Form 4) that would signal the start of actual share sales.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
ARAY ▼ -11.01% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +11.01% · α vs SPY +13.27% · entry $0.2453 → $0.2183
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+29 +38.01% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.03%
call +6.03% · α +5.57%
$0.2305
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-2.16%
call +2.16% · α +2.27%
$0.2400
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-11.01%
call +11.01% · α +13.27%
$0.2183
settled 15d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Accuray's S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-297855) became effective on September 11, 2026. This allows the resale of 6,834,308 shares by existing lenders/warrant holders, creating an immediate dilution overhang. The deeply in-the-money Penny Warrants ($0.01 strike vs. ~$0.29 stock price) represent a significant potential selling pressure on a $30M market cap company.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration became effective on September 11, 2026
  • Covers 6,834,308 shares for resale by existing lenders/warrant holders
  • Penny Warrants exercisable at $0.01 per share are deeply in-the-money
  • Company will not receive any proceeds from the resale
  • Market cap is only ~$30M, making the potential dilution highly material

Financial Impact

Up to 6.8M shares of potential selling pressure on a ~$30M market cap company; dilution overhang of roughly 20-25% of current float

dilutionshare price

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution overhang from warrant conversions
  • No company proceeds from resale — pure selling pressure
  • Low market cap makes the relative impact of 6.8M shares very large

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002949
Document: 9999999995-26-002949-index.html9999999995-26-002949
Document: 9999999995-26-002949.txt9999999995-26-002949
16 reports for ARAY
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +54.08%Jul 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARAY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.1340awaiting T+5—$0.1200 (−10.45%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1400 $0.1250▲ +10.71%▲ +10.57%$0.1200 (+14.29%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1751 $0.1370▼ −21.76%▼ −22.21%$0.1200 (−31.47%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.2414 $0.1738▼ −28.00%▼ −27.73%$0.1200 (−50.29%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2534 $0.1751▲ +30.90%▲ +29.92%$0.1200 (+52.64%)
Sep 27, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2998 $0.3017▲ +0.63%▼ −0.57%$0.1200 (−59.97%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$0.2300 $0.3000▲ +30.43%▲ +31.62%$0.1200 (−47.83%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2453 $0.2400▲ +2.16%▲ +2.27%$0.1200 (+51.08%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2502 $0.2336▼ −6.63%▼ −6.41%$0.1200 (−52.04%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2924 $0.2621▲ +10.36%▲ +11.48%$0.1200 (+58.96%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 9h 23m

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Report published Sep 14, 2026