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8-K ·Filed Jun 9, 2026

APG

APi Group Corp
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001628280-26-041818
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The guidance raise is purely M&A-driven with no organic acceleration, so the stock reaction is likely muted. Monitor Q2 results for organic growth trends and integration progress on Onyx-Fire. The reaffirmed Q2 guidance (ex-Onyx) suggests no material change in underlying momentum.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
APG ▼ -9.89% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -9.89% · α vs SPY -13.70% · entry $43.68 → $39.36
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.31%
call -5.31% · α -3.73%
$41.36
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.62%
call -4.62% · α -7.04%
$41.66
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-5.45%
call -5.45% · α -6.89%
$41.30
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-9.89%
call -9.89% · α -13.70%
$39.36
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

APi Group closed its acquisition of Onyx-Fire Protection Services, a Canadian fire and life safety provider, and raised its full-year 2026 guidance to reflect the expected contribution. The company now expects net revenues of $8,575M-$8,775M (up from $8,475M-$8,675M) and adjusted EBITDA of $1,165M-$1,225M (up from $1,150M-$1,210M). The guidance increase is purely acquisition-driven, not organic, and Q2 guidance was reaffirmed excluding Onyx-Fire's partial-month contribution.

Key Facts

  • Closed acquisition of Onyx-Fire Protection Services on June 8, 2026, previously announced April 23, 2026.
  • Onyx-Fire expected to contribute approximately $190 million in annual revenue.
  • Full-year 2026 net revenue guidance raised to $8,575M-$8,775M from $8,475M-$8,675M.
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $1,165M-$1,225M from $1,150M-$1,210M.
  • Q2 2026 guidance reaffirmed before accounting for partial-month Onyx-Fire contribution in June.
  • Management stated underlying business trends remain strong across both segments.

Financial Impact

Guidance raised by $100M at the midpoint for revenue and $15M at the midpoint for adjusted EBITDA, entirely from the Onyx-Fire acquisition. No organic guidance change.

revenueadjustedEBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk for Onyx-Fire; failure to realize expected revenue or EBITDA accretion.
  • No organic guidance raise — underlying business trends may not be accelerating.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-To Dwellings & Other Buildings
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-041818
Document: apg-20260609xexx991.htm0001628280-26-041818
Document: 0001628280-26-041818-index-headers.html0001628280-26-041818
Document: 0001628280-26-041818-index.html0001628280-26-041818
Document: 0001628280-26-041818.txt0001628280-26-041818
12 reports for APG
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +5.83%Aug 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for APG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$41.25 $41.72▲ +1.14%▲ +0.53%$40.27 (−2.38%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$41.54 $41.78▼ −0.58%▼ −0.78%$40.27 (+3.06%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$39.20 $39.68▲ +1.22%▲ +0.52%$40.27 (+2.73%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$41.98 $42.83▲ +2.02%▲ +1.15%$40.27 (−4.07%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$42.66 $42.34▼ −0.75%▼ −1.29%$40.27 (−5.60%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$43.68 $41.36▼ −5.31%▼ −3.73%$40.27 (−7.81%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.67 $45.59▲ +2.06%▲ +1.26%$40.27 (−9.85%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$45.72 $45.94▲ +0.48%▲ +0.26%$40.27 (−11.92%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$45.72 $45.94▲ +0.48%▲ +0.26%$40.27 (−11.92%)
Apr 3, 2026
29w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.21 $41.94▼ −0.64%▼ −0.70%$40.27 (−4.60%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Jun 9, 2026