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8-K ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

APEI

AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION INC
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-093372
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The EPS miss vs consensus is the headline surprise and may pressure the stock near-term, but the raised full-year guidance and completion of the institutional combination (expected to drive operational efficiencies) are positive catalysts. Monitor the earnings call for details on the institutional combination's cost synergy timeline and Q3 guidance trajectory, which guides for a sequential revenue decline to $164.5M-$167.0M.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
APEI ▼ -1.51% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -1.51% · α vs SPY -0.45% · entry $45.72 → $45.03
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+52 +26.59% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 10, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.29%
call -1.29% · α -1.54%
$45.13
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-2.25%
call -2.25% · α -1.85%
$44.69
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-1.51%
call -1.51% · α -0.45%
$45.03
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

APEI reported Q2 2026 revenue of $171.7M (+5.5% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.52, a 10.3% miss vs the $0.58 consensus estimate. The company raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $690M-$698M and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $96M-$104M, and completed the institutional combination of its three schools into a single HLC-accredited entity subsequent to quarter end. The EPS miss is partially offset by strong operating income growth (93% YoY) and raised guidance, but the headline miss vs consensus is the primary near-term driver.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.52
est $0.58 · -10.3%
Revenue
$171.7M
est $169.9M · +1.1% · +5.5% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$690M-$698M
raised

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue $171.7M, +5.5% YoY vs $162.8M
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.52 vs consensus $0.58 (10.3% miss)
  • Net income available to common stockholders $9.8M vs ($0.3M) loss in Q2 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA $20.7M, +36.8% YoY vs $15.1M
  • Full-year 2026 guidance raised: revenue $690M-$698M, net income $46.5M-$52.5M, adjusted EBITDA $96M-$104M
  • Completed institutional combination of APUS, Rasmussen, and Hondros into single HLC-accredited institution
  • Health+ segment revenue $86.2M, +11.0% YoY; Military+ segment revenue $85.5M, +4.7% YoY
  • Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and short-term investments $222.8M at June 30, 2026

Financial Impact

Q2 EPS miss of ~$0.06 vs consensus ($0.52 actual vs $0.58 estimate) represents a 10.3% negative surprise, but raised full-year guidance and strong operating income growth provide offsetting positive signals

revenueepsadjusted EBITDAguidance

Risk Factors

  • Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $164.5M-$167.0M implies a sequential decline from Q2's $171.7M
  • Q3 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $14.0M-$17.0M is well below Q2's $20.7M, suggesting margin compression
  • The institutional combination integration carries execution risk and may incur additional costs

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Educational Services
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-093372
Document: tm2622572d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-093372
Document: 0001104659-26-093372-index-headers.html0001104659-26-093372
Document: 0001104659-26-093372-index.html0001104659-26-093372
Document: 0001104659-26-093372.txt0001104659-26-093372
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-093372
9 reports for APEI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +6.31%Mar 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for APEI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$47.46awaiting T+60—$46.17 (−2.72%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$48.86awaiting T+60—$46.17 (−5.51%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$45.23awaiting T+60—$46.17 (−2.08%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$45.72awaiting T+60—$46.17 (+0.98%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$53.61 $45.36▼ −15.39%▼ −19.78%$46.17 (−13.88%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$55.34 $51.85▲ +6.31%▲ +16.79%$46.17 (+16.57%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$55.34 $51.85▲ +6.31%▲ +16.79%$46.17 (+16.57%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$55.34 $51.85▲ +6.31%▲ +16.79%$46.17 (+16.57%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$55.34 $51.85▼ −6.31%▼ −16.79%$46.17 (−16.57%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (16h 23m)

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Report published Aug 10, 2026