SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Jul 27, 2026

AMR

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed3mo ago SEC0001704715-26-000025
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Expect the stock to trade down on this pre-announcement as the guidance cuts reflect worsening operational and market conditions. The definitive Q2 release on August 7 will provide more detail on DTA terminal plans and cost trajectory. Traders should monitor met coal benchmark prices and any further updates on DTA repairs.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AMR ▲ +10.00% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -10.00% · α vs SPY -6.29% · entry $145.54 → $160.09
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 27, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.32%
call +0.32% · α +0.56%
$145.07
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-5.76%
call +5.76% · α +6.83%
$137.16
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+44.24%
call -44.24% · α -40.94%
$209.93
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+10.00%
call -10.00% · α -6.29%
$160.09
settled 6d ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) pre-announced preliminary Q2 2026 results showing a net loss of $12.3M ($0.96 per share) and Adjusted EBITDA of $25.6M, down from Q1's $30M. The company lowered its 2026 met coal shipment guidance by ~1.2M tons at the midpoint and raised its cost of coal sales guidance by $7/ton, citing lighter volumes, continued met coal market weakness, and wind-related equipment damage at the Dominion Terminal Associates (DTA) export facility. This is a significant negative pre-announcement that signals deteriorating fundamentals.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
Not provided (preliminary only)
lowered

Key Facts

  • Preliminary Q2 2026 net loss of $12.3 million vs Q1 net loss of $11.0 million
  • Preliminary Q2 EPS of -$0.96 per diluted share (no consensus estimate provided)
  • Adjusted EBITDA declined to $25.6 million from $30.0 million in Q1 2026
  • Met segment coal revenues fell to $491.5 million from $523.5 million in Q1
  • Met coal sales volumes dropped to 3.5 million tons from 3.6 million tons in Q1
  • 2026 met coal shipment guidance reduced to 13.2-14.0 million tons from 14.4-15.4 million tons
  • 2026 cost of coal sales guidance raised to $103-$107 per ton from $95-$101 per ton
  • Total liquidity at June 30, 2026: $447.8 million, down from $476.2 million at March 31, 2026
  • Share repurchases slowed to ~$13.5 million in Q2 vs $22.9 million in Q1
  • Definitive Q2 results expected on August 7, 2026

Financial Impact

Net loss of $12.3M in Q2, guidance reduction of ~1.2M tons in met coal shipments and cost guidance increase of $7/ton, implying a meaningful negative impact on 2026 profitability

revenueepsguidancecost of salesshipment volumes

Risk Factors

  • Further weakness in met coal prices could worsen results
  • DTA wind damage may cause additional operational disruptions
  • Higher diesel and supply costs may persist if Iran conflict continues
  • Potential for additional guidance reductions if market conditions deteriorate

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001704715-26-000025
Document: amr-20260727.htm0001704715-26-000025
Document: 0001704715-26-000025-index-headers.html0001704715-26-000025
Document: 0001704715-26-000025-index.html0001704715-26-000025
Document: 0001704715-26-000025.txt0001704715-26-000025
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001704715-26-000025
18 reports for AMR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +24.14%Apr 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AMR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$158.20awaiting T+5—$159.13 (+0.59%)
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$158.20awaiting T+5—$159.13 (−0.59%)
Aug 31, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$233.41 $226.94▼ −2.77%▼ −2.85%$159.13 (−31.82%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$215.63 $233.41▲ +8.25%▲ +8.78%$159.13 (−26.20%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$151.95 $166.05▲ +9.28%▲ +8.88%$159.13 (+4.72%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$151.95 $166.05▼ −9.28%▼ −8.88%$159.13 (−4.72%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$145.54 $137.16▲ +5.76%▲ +6.83%$159.13 (−9.34%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$175.09 $165.25▲ +5.62%▲ +3.55%$159.13 (+9.12%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$202.38 $200.82▼ −0.77%▼ −1.34%$159.13 (−21.37%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$215.37 $202.38▼ −6.03%▼ −3.28%$159.13 (−26.11%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (17h 30m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Jul 27, 2026