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8-K ·Filed Aug 7, 2026

AMR

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001704715-26-000030
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

With both volume and pricing under pressure and storm-related DTA damage unresolved through year-end, AMR faces a structurally weaker H2 2026. The earnings miss was marginal vs consensus on EPS (-$0.96 vs -$0.97) but the underlying operational and guidance deterioration is significant. Traders should watch the Aug 7 conference call for DTA remediation timeline and any further cost escalation.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
AMR ▲ +48.34% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -48.34% · α vs SPY -48.74% · entry $151.95 → $225.41
Next anchor: T+60d in 6d
Latest observation: T+54 -39.62% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.22%
call -1.22% · α -1.25%
$153.81
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+9.28%
call -9.28% · α -8.88%
$166.05
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+48.34%
call -48.34% · α -48.74%
$225.41
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported Q2 2026 results and reaffirmed lowered guidance released in its July 27 preliminary earnings warning. Net loss deepened to $12.3M from $5.0M a year ago, with revenue falling 10.4% to $492.9M. The company cut its 2026 met coal shipment guidance by ~1.1M tons and raised cost guidance to $103-$107/ton, citing persistent met coal market weakness and equipment damage at the DTA terminal. The buyback continued at a reduced pace ($13.5M in Q2 vs $36.7M in H1).

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.96
est −$0.97 · +1.0%
Revenue
$492.9M
est $538.5M · -8.5% · -10.4% YoY
Rating
in line
Gross Margin
1.2%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 total revenue of $492.9M, down from $550.3M in Q2 2025 (down 10.4% YoY)
  • Net loss of $12.3M vs loss of $5.0M in Q2 2025; EPS loss of $0.96 vs loss of $0.38
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $25.6M, down 44% from $46.1M in Q2 2025
  • Tons sold fell 8.7% YoY to 3.5M; met coal realization $118.71/ton vs $119.43 a year ago
  • 2026 met coal sales volume guidance reduced from 14.4M-15.4M to 13.2M-14.0M tons
  • 2026 cost of coal sales guidance raised from $95-$101 to $103-$107/ton
  • DTA terminal storm damage causing reduced efficiency; utilizing alternate East Coast terminals
  • Share repurchases slowed: $13.5M in Q2 vs $36.7M H1 cumulative
  • Total liquidity $447.8M including cash $307.6M; no borrowings on ABL facility
  • This filing confirms the preliminary warning from July 27, which had already set expectations for the negative revisions

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 10.4% YoY, Adjusted EBITDA halved, guidance for lower volume and higher costs for 2026

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAsales volumecost per ton

Risk Factors

  • Further met coal price weakness in export markets could pressure realizations
  • DTA terminal repair delays could reduce access to tidewater capacity
  • Operating cost inflation may persist, squeezing margins further
  • Shareholder returns via buyback may slow if cash flow deteriorates

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001704715-26-000030
Document: amr-20260807.htm0001704715-26-000030
Document: 0001704715-26-000030-index-headers.html0001704715-26-000030
Document: 0001704715-26-000030-index.html0001704715-26-000030
Document: 0001704715-26-000030.txt0001704715-26-000030
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001704715-26-000030
18 reports for AMR
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +24.14%Apr 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AMR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$163.60awaiting T+5—$167.53 (+2.40%)
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$163.60awaiting T+5—$167.53 (−2.40%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$233.41 $226.94▼ −2.77%▼ −2.85%$167.53 (−28.23%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$215.63 $233.41▲ +8.25%▲ +8.78%$167.53 (−22.31%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$151.95 $166.05▲ +9.28%▲ +8.88%$167.53 (+10.25%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$151.95 $166.05▼ −9.28%▼ −8.88%$167.53 (−10.25%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$145.54 $137.16▲ +5.76%▲ +6.83%$167.53 (−15.11%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$175.09 $165.25▲ +5.62%▲ +3.55%$167.53 (+4.32%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$202.38 $200.82▼ −0.77%▼ −1.34%$167.53 (−17.22%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$215.37 $202.38▼ −6.03%▼ −3.28%$167.53 (−22.21%)
Showing 10 of 18

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Report published Aug 7, 2026