Monitor for selling activity by the ten selling stockholders, who can sell at any time after effectiveness. The warrant exercise price of $4.36 is well above the recent reference price of $2.19, making near-term cash exercise unlikely, but the 51.6M PIPE Shares are already outstanding and freely resalable. Watch for 424B prospectus supplements and Form 4 filings for insider sales.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Alpha Modus Holdings filed an amended S-3 registration statement to register 103,243,120 shares of common stock for resale by ten selling stockholders. The shares were issued in a September 2026 PIPE financing in exchange for 3,170 bitcoin, and include 51,621,560 PIPE Shares already issued and up to 51,621,560 Warrant Shares issuable at $4.36 per share. The company will not receive any proceeds from resales, and the registered shares represent approximately 180% of current shares outstanding, creating significant potential overhang.
Key Facts
- Registration covers 103,243,120 shares for resale by selling stockholders, representing ~180% of the 57,515,785 shares outstanding as of October 9, 2026.
- Shares consist of 51,621,560 PIPE Shares already issued and up to 51,621,560 Warrant Shares issuable at $4.36 per share.
- The PIPE financing closed September 30, 2026, with the company issuing shares and warrants in exchange for 3,170 bitcoin.
- Company will not receive any proceeds from resales; selling stockholders will determine timing and pricing.
- Audited financial statements contain a going concern qualification with substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue.
- Market cap is approximately $68 million based on the snapshot price.
Financial Impact
Potential resale of up to 103,243,120 shares representing ~180% of current outstanding shares, with no proceeds to the company. The company's market cap is ~$68M.
Risk Factors
- Massive potential overhang: registered shares equal ~180% of current outstanding shares, creating severe downward pressure on the stock price.
- Going concern qualification in audited financial statements indicates financial distress.
- Company has no control over timing or volume of resales by selling stockholders.
- Warrant exercise at $4.36 per share would require significant stock price appreciation to be in-the-money.
- 22 offering/registration filings in the last 24 months suggest frequent capital needs.
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| S-3/A Filing (Primary) | 0001493152-26-048838 |
| Exhibit: ex5-1.htm | 0001493152-26-048838 |
| Exhibit: ex21-1.htm | 0001493152-26-048838 |
| Exhibit: ex23-1.htm | 0001493152-26-048838 |
| Document: 0001493152-26-048838-index-headers.html | 0001493152-26-048838 |
| Document: 0001493152-26-048838-index.html | 0001493152-26-048838 |
| Document: 0001493152-26-048838.txt | 0001493152-26-048838 |
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 29, 2026 today | SC 13G | $1.08 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (−5.56%) |
Oct 29, 2026 today | EFFECT | $1.10 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (+7.27%) |
Oct 28, 2026 1d ago | S-3/A | $1.12 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (+8.93%) |
Oct 22, 2026 7d ago | 8-K | $0.9401 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (−8.50%) |
Oct 22, 2026 7d ago | 424B5 | $0.9866 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (−3.39%) |
Oct 21, 2026 8d ago | Press Release | $1.03 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (+0.97%) |
Oct 15, 2026 14d ago | 8-K | $1.62 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (−37.04%) |
Oct 15, 2026 14d ago | Press Release | $1.62 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (−37.04%) |
Oct 13, 2026 16d ago | S-3 | $1.39 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (+26.62%) |
Oct 13, 2026 16d ago | SC 13G/A | $1.39 | awaiting T+20 | awaiting T+20 | $1.02 (+26.62%) |
US Market Status
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