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8-K ·Filed Oct 1, 2026

AMOD

ALPHA MODUS HOLDINGS, INC.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed26d 13h ago SEC0001493152-26-045296
8-K material event: Items 2.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the next periodic report for evidence of compliance with Nasdaq's stockholders' equity requirement. The massive dilution to existing common stockholders is a bearish signal.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
AMOD ▲ +99.15% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -99.15% · α vs SPY -97.84% · entry $1.17 → $2.33
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 -7.51% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+198.29%
call -198.29% · α -197.55%
$3.49
settled 26d ago
T+5d
+99.15%
call -99.15% · α -97.84%
$2.33
settled 20d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Alpha Modus Holdings closed the previously announced PIPE Transaction, issuing 51,621,560 shares and warrants for an additional 51,621,560 shares at $4.36/share in exchange for 3,170 bitcoin. The subsidiary now holds over $250 million in bitcoin. This massive dilutive event, over 10x the pre-closing share count, is a bearish signal for existing common stockholders. The company also used the transaction to regain compliance with Nasdaq's minimum stockholders' equity requirement, removing the immediate delisting risk.

Key Facts

  • Closed PIPE Transaction on September 30, 2026, issuing 51,621,560 shares and warrants for an additional 51,621,560 shares at $4.36/share.
  • Received 3,170 bitcoin from non-U.S. investors, delivered to a newly-formed subsidiary, AMOD Tech Pte. Ltd.
  • Bitcoin value in excess of $250 million based on a reference price of approximately $83,612.20 per bitcoin on September 30, 2026.
  • Company believes it now has stockholders' equity well in excess of $200 million and has regained compliance with Nasdaq's minimum stockholders' equity requirement.
  • Nasdaq will continue to monitor compliance; if not evidenced at the next periodic report, it may be subject to delisting.
  • The massive dilutive event is a bearish signal for existing common stockholders.
  • The prior analysis of the original agreement was rated bearish with impact 7/10.

Financial Impact

Massive dilutive event with over 10x the pre-closing share count of ~4.99M.

dilutionbitcoinstockholders equity

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution to existing common stockholders.
  • Nasdaq delisting risk if compliance is not evidenced at the next periodic report.
  • Bitcoin price volatility.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-045296
Document: 0001493152-26-045296-index-headers.html0001493152-26-045296
Document: 0001493152-26-045296-index.html0001493152-26-045296
Document: 0001493152-26-045296.txt0001493152-26-045296
20 reports for AMOD
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +41.20%Aug 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AMOD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9401awaiting T+5—$1.12 (−19.14%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9866awaiting T+5—$1.12 (−13.52%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.03awaiting T+5—$1.12 (−8.74%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.62 $0.9866▼ −39.10%▼ −38.08%$1.12 (−30.86%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.62 $0.9870▼ −39.07%▼ −38.06%$1.12 (−30.86%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.39 $1.03▲ +25.90%▲ +26.35%$1.12 (+19.42%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.39 $1.03▲ +25.90%▲ +26.35%$1.12 (+19.42%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.78 $1.95▼ −48.41%▼ −48.83%$1.12 (−70.37%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.78 $1.95▼ −48.41%▼ −48.83%$1.12 (−70.37%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.49 $2.19▼ −37.25%▼ −38.41%$1.12 (−67.91%)
Showing 10 of 20

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Report published Oct 1, 2026