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EFFECT ·Filed Jun 24, 2026

AMBQ

Ambiq Micro, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002095
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Expect IPO pricing within 1-2 days. The strong analyst backing (73% bullish) and recent insider selling ($1.8M) create a mixed signal — watch the IPO price range and demand from institutional investors. Post-IPO, monitor lockup expiry and any follow-on offerings.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AMBQ ▼ -23.20% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -23.20% · α vs SPY -26.03% · entry $81.18 → $62.35
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 24, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.77%
call +2.77% · α +2.63%
$83.43
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+8.89%
call +8.89% · α +7.19%
$88.40
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-4.47%
call -4.47% · α -6.40%
$77.55
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-23.20%
call -23.20% · α -26.03%
$62.35
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ambiq Micro's S-1 registration statement (File No. 333-296930) was declared effective by the SEC on June 23, 2026, clearing the way for the company's IPO. The company can now price and begin trading its common stock on the NYSE, likely within 1-2 days. The IPO represents a liquidity event for existing holders and will raise primary capital for the semiconductor firm, which has a $1.7B market cap and strong analyst support (73% bullish).

Key Facts

  • SEC declared S-1 effective on June 23, 2026 (File No. 333-296930)
  • IPO can now price and begin trading on NYSE under ticker AMBQ
  • Company is a semiconductor & related devices manufacturer with $1.7B market cap
  • Analyst consensus: 73% bullish (3 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 3 Hold)
  • Top institutional holders: BlackRock ($26M), AllianceBernstein ($20M), Vanguard ($18M)
  • Recent insider activity: 1 sell totaling $1.8M in past 30 days

Financial Impact

IPO proceeds not disclosed in filing; $1.7B pre-offer market cap suggests a significant primary raise

dilutioncashsharesOutstanding

Risk Factors

  • IPO pricing below expectations could signal weak demand
  • Dilution from new shares may pressure near-term valuation
  • Insider selling ahead of IPO may indicate limited confidence at current levels

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002095
Document: 9999999995-26-002095-index.html9999999995-26-002095
Document: 9999999995-26-002095.txt9999999995-26-002095
17 reports for AMBQ
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +23.80%Sep 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AMBQ — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$54.67awaiting T+20—$51.06 (−6.60%)
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$49.62awaiting T+20—$51.06 (−2.90%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$65.46 $49.88▲ +23.80%▲ +24.01%$51.06 (+22.00%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$59.90 $51.55▲ +13.94%▲ +16.00%$51.06 (+14.76%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$60.66 $58.90▼ −2.90%▼ −5.28%$51.06 (−15.83%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$56.43 $68.18▲ +20.82%▲ +22.01%$51.06 (−9.52%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$59.19 $62.35▲ +5.34%▲ +6.18%$51.06 (−13.74%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$67.86 $60.85▼ −10.33%▼ −8.35%$51.06 (−24.76%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$65.29 $63.77▼ −2.33%▼ −1.27%$51.06 (−21.80%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$63.23 $60.09▼ −4.97%▼ −8.93%$51.06 (−19.25%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (13h)

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Report published Jun 24, 2026