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8-K ·Filed Mar 4, 2026

ALTO

Alto Ingredients, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago SEC0001213900-26-023650
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The stock may react positively to the dramatic profitability improvement and strategic shift toward higher-margin products, but traders should monitor whether the revenue decline continues and if the company can sustain the improved margins and tax credit benefits in 2026.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ALTO ▲ +42.04% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +42.04% · α vs SPY +30.74% · entry $4.02 → $5.71
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+9.20%
call +9.20% · α +10.52%
$4.39
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
+18.16%
call +18.16% · α +20.40%
$4.75
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
+16.17%
call +16.17% · α +19.96%
$4.67
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+42.04%
call +42.04% · α +30.74%
$5.71
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Alto Ingredients reported a strong turnaround in Q4 and full-year 2025, with gross profit turning positive and net income swinging from losses to profits year-over-year. The improvement was driven by higher crush margins, 45Z tax credits, and strong renewable fuel exports, despite a 4.5% decline in annual revenue.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$917.9M
-4.9% YoY
Adj. EPS
$0.16
GAAP: $0.16
Gross Margin
3.8%

Key Facts

  • Q4 2025 gross profit was $15.2M vs. $1.4M gross loss in Q4 2024
  • Q4 2025 net income was $21.5M ($0.28/share) vs. $42.0M net loss ($0.57/share) in Q4 2024
  • Full-year 2025 net income was $12.1M ($0.16/share) vs. $60.3M net loss ($0.82/share) in 2024
  • Annual revenue declined 4.9% to $917.9M from $965.3M in 2024
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved to $44.7M in 2025 vs. negative $8.5M in 2024

Financial Impact

Significant improvement in profitability with $72.4M swing from net loss to net income year-over-year, despite 4.9% revenue decline

revenuegross profitnet incomeepsebitda

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Pekin Campus$591.5M+0.9%
Marketing and distribution$231.1M+1.7%
Western production$100.5M-33.7%

Risk Factors

  • Annual revenue declined 4.9% year-over-year
  • Western production segment revenue dropped 33.7% to $100.6M from $152.2M
  • Cash balance decreased to $23.4M from $35.5M year-ago
  • Future 45Z tax credit benefits are uncertain and may not be sustained

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-023650
Document: ea0279954-8k_alto.htm0001213900-26-023650
Document: 0001213900-26-023650-index-headers.html0001213900-26-023650
Document: 0001213900-26-023650-index.html0001213900-26-023650
Document: 0001213900-26-023650.txt0001213900-26-023650
8 reports for ALTO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ALTO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$3.82 $3.56▲ +6.81%▲ +6.25%$3.61 (+5.50%)
Jun 23, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.05 $5.08▲ +0.49%▼ −1.44%$3.61 (−28.51%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.65 $5.67▲ +0.35%▼ −1.54%$3.61 (−36.11%)
May 26, 2026
21w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.22 $4.98▼ −4.60%▼ −2.65%$3.61 (−30.84%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.54 $5.53▲ +21.81%▲ +18.67%$3.61 (−20.48%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.43 $5.71▲ +5.16%▼ −0.11%$3.61 (−33.52%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.02 $4.67▲ +16.17%▲ +19.96%$3.61 (−10.20%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$4.02 $4.67▲ +16.17%▲ +19.96%$3.61 (−10.20%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 16m)

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Report published Mar 4, 2026