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Institutional Cluster

ALMS

ALUMIS INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 9 buyers, 2 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The broad-based institutional accumulation is a positive signal, but the 45-day reporting lag and lack of insider buying warrant caution. Monitor for any Q3 2026 13F updates or insider filings to confirm the thesis is still active. The stock's historical volatility (recent -12% days) suggests position sizing should be conservative.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ALMS ▼ -67.06% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -67.06% · α vs SPY -65.08% · entry $25.50 → $8.40
Next anchor: T+60d in 13d
Latest observation: T+49 -70.32% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.43%
call -2.43% · α -1.76%
$24.88
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-9.69%
call -9.69% · α -8.50%
$23.03
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-67.06%
call -67.06% · α -65.08%
$8.40
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 13d

Executive Summary

A strong institutional cluster of 9 buyers accumulated $186.9M in ALMS during Q2 2026, led by Fidelity doubling its position to $190.5M. The buying is broad-based across asset managers and a mega-passive fund, while only 2 small sellers trimmed. This signals a shared positive thesis on Alumis, though the 13F data is 45+ days stale and the stock has been volatile historically. No insider open-market buying corroborates the institutional conviction, which tempers the signal slightly.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$220.8M
Sell Value
$2.7M
Net Flow
$185.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $185.4M

▲ Buyers (9)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
FidelityDOUBLED+595.1%$190.5M$169.0M
CitigroupDOUBLED+289.6%$10.8M$8.7M
Morgan StanleyADD+42.7%$9.0M$4.1M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Td Asset ManagementTRIM-49.3%$4.2M-$1.5M
Optiver Holding B.v.TRIM-58%$5.0K-$2.3K

Key Facts

  • 9 institutional buyers added $186.9M in net new positions during Q2 2026
  • Fidelity doubled its stake from $21.5M to $190.5M (+595% shares)
  • Citigroup doubled its position to $10.8M (+290% shares)
  • Only 2 sellers trimmed a combined $1.48M, a negligible counterweight
  • No insider open-market buying (confluence score 23/100, divergent) weakens the signal

Financial Impact

9 institutional buyers added $186.9M in net new positions; 2 sellers trimmed $1.48M. Net institutional inflow of ~$185.4M.

institutional_ownershipfloat_percentage

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound
  • No insider open-market buying to corroborate institutional conviction
  • Stock has shown high volatility with recent -12% single-day moves

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ALMS-2026-Q2
11 reports for ALMS
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +23.85%Mar 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ALMS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$9.90 $9.18▼ −7.27%▼ −8.13%—
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.47 $10.35▲ +9.29%▲ +8.85%—
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$25.50 $24.88▼ −2.43%▼ −1.76%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$25.37 $25.55▲ +0.71%▲ +0.46%—
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.80 $27.60▼ −0.72%▼ −1.33%—
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$27.80 $27.60▼ −0.72%▼ −1.33%—
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$27.14 $28.14▲ +3.68%▲ +2.91%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.90 $24.15▲ +15.55%▲ +15.01%—
May 18, 2026
23w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.53 $22.04▲ +2.39%▲ +1.35%—
Mar 28, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$20.21 $22.03▲ +9.01%▲ +6.11%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 34m)

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Report published Aug 15, 2026