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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 19, 2026

ALH

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002703
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Pricing is imminent (likely 1-2 days). The 20.5M share secondary creates a ~4.3% dilution overhang, partially offset by the $75M buyback. Watch for pricing announcement and whether the underwriter exercises any greenshoe. The repurchase signals management's view of value but does not eliminate the selling pressure from BDT's exit.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
ALH ▼ -10.23% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -10.23% · α vs SPY -8.28% · entry $23.94 → $21.49
Next anchor: T+60d in 16d
Latest observation: T+46 -1.99% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.17%
call -3.17% · α -2.33%
$23.18
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+0.08%
call +0.08% · α +0.47%
$23.96
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-10.23%
call -10.23% · α -8.28%
$21.49
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 16d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective Alliance Laundry Holdings' S-1 registration (File No. 333-298370) on August 18, 2026, covering a secondary offering of 20.5M shares by BDT Capital Partners with a concurrent $75M share repurchase. This removes the final regulatory hurdle for the offering to proceed, likely pricing within 1-2 days. The effectiveness itself is a procedural step, but the underlying secondary sale creates a known overhang while the repurchase provides a partial offset.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: August 18, 2026
  • Registration covers secondary offering of 20.5M shares by BDT Capital Partners
  • Concurrent $75M share repurchase by Alliance Laundry
  • S-1 filed August 17, 2026; effectiveness followed 1 day later
  • Company had H1 2026 net revenue of $903.6M and net income of $125.6M

Financial Impact

Secondary offering of 20.5M shares (approximately 4.3% of shares outstanding at ~$4.8B market cap) with $75M buyback offsetting roughly 1.6% of market cap

dilutionshare countcash used for repurchase

Risk Factors

  • Secondary pricing below current market could pressure stock
  • BDT Capital Partners' exit may signal lack of confidence in near-term upside
  • Dilution from 20.5M shares even with partial buyback offset

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Refrigeration & Service Industry Machinery
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002703
Document: 9999999995-26-002703-index.html9999999995-26-002703
Document: 9999999995-26-002703.txt9999999995-26-002703
15 reports for ALH
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +20.90%Jun 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ALH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$23.85awaiting T+60—$21.15 (+11.32%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$23.94awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−11.65%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
S-1
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$24.79awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−14.68%)
Aug 16, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$24.79awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−14.68%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$25.76awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−17.90%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.77awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−23.84%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.54awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−23.20%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.54awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−23.20%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.54awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−23.20%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.01awaiting T+60—$21.15 (−24.49%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 1h 53m

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Report published Aug 19, 2026